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Generational Dynamics – Forecasting America’s Destiny … and the World’s

Forecasting America's Destiny Generational
Dynamics
Forecasting America’s Destiny … and the World’s

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Generational Dynamics for Historians
Read the current draft of the new book: Generational Dynamics for Historians

Generational Dynamics is a historical methodology that analyzes historical events through the flow of generations, and uses the analysis to forecast future events by comparing today’s generational attitudes to those of the past.
This site provides analysis and forecasts of international news, politics, culture and finance. We apply the Generational Dynamics methodology ruthlessly, without any biases: We take no sides in any political battles (such as Republicans vs Democrats) or in any international conflicts (such as Israelis vs Palestinians), and we don’t use any religious interpretations. If we have any bias at all, it’s that we’re pro-American.

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Special feature articles on current events issues available on request. Media inquiries welcome.


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Since 2002, we’ve been using generational analysis to make specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture, technology, economics and international finance, and with much better accuracy than private analyst firms. If you’re paying big money for high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you’re getting is vague “that might be a problem” forecasts, then check this website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts — FOR FREE.


The gathering storm in the Caucasus : The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I. (17-Aug-2008)

How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of Information Technology (IT) : Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with management’s cookbook programming mentality. (1-Jul-2008)

Basics of Generational Dynamics : Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational theory (22-Jun-2008)

Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics : Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between China and the West. (12-Apr-2008)

List of major Generational Dynamics predictions : These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003, using the generational forecasting methodology. (27-Mar-2008)

Cities and towns need to start helping themselves. : Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market, cities and towns should start planning immediately. (2-Mar-2008)

A primer on financial engineering and structured finance : How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless mortgage-based securities. (23-Jan-2008)

The Bubble that Broke the World : How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what’s going to happen in 2008-2009. (9-Oct-2007)

How to compute the “real value” of the stock market. : And some additional speculations about stock market crashes. (20-Aug-2007)

Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq : This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts. (1-Apr-2007)

System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory : Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the 1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that’s happened since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new “Dynamic Macroeconomics” theory. (25-Oct-2006)

President George Bush talks about a “Third Awakening,” but he has his history wrong : It was America’s 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel. (19-Sep-2006)

Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi ‘civil war’ : A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I’ve said many times, because only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s. Here’s some additional historical information. (7-Aug-2006)

Israel’s war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to choose sides : The war is part of a larger Shi’ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more chaotic situation within a few months (25-Jul-2006)

A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a “Nash equlibrium” : Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can’t last too much longer. (17-Jul-2006)

Why aren’t college students protesting against the Iraq war? : Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics, while “Grannies Against the War” is truly bizarre. (1-Jun-2006)

Speculations about a stock market panic and crash : Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities. (31-May-2006)

Ariel Sharon’s political “earthquake” in Israel signal change in direction for entire Mideast : His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza pullout is now likely to founder. (29-Nov-2005)

Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony : Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite what the pundits say. (29-Oct-2005)

Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply : Between China’s search for oil and Koizumi’s shrine visit, the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast. (23-Oct-2005)

Robert Pape’s “Dying to Win” sheds light on suicide bombers. : Robert Pape’s database of every suicide bombing and attack around the world from 1980-2003 — 315 attacks in all — provides valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms the Generational Dynamics’ conclusions about crisis wars. (18-Jul-2005)

The 11% Solution: An article in Barron’s says the stock market is very overvalued : New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over any 20-year period are surprisingly constant. (11-Jul-2005)

The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average : Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to what’s happening today. Updated 21-Nov-2008 (21-Nov-2008)

French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline of entire European Union project : Exit polls from Sunday’s French EU Constitution vote show a clear generational split that analysts aren’t noticing. (1-Jun-2005)

Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears of destabilizing Asia : After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin. (14-May-2005)

Press Release: Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries : Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now solved the problem that’s stumped the historians for centuries. (22-Apr-2005)

Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to increase interest rates : This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through crisis periods (24-Mar-2005)

North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war : Blaming “hostile” U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons. This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war. (10-Feb-2005)

Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers are without historical precedent : In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the last decade were wrong. (6-Feb-2005)

China appears to be approaching a major civil war : Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook case for a massive civil war in the making (16-Jan-2005)

A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens’ “A Christmas Carol” : Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational struggle (5-Dec-2004)

Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin : Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov Presidential election. (28-Nov-2004)

The six most dangerous regions in the world today.: There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war. NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology. (20-Nov-2004)

Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring in the making.: In the long run, George Bush’s victory is less important than the reasons why people voted for him. (3-Nov-2004)

Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are setting the stage for hostile reactions next year: Will “something big” happen to America in 2005? (24-Oct-2004)

Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush: However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran’s mullahs (23-Oct-2004)

Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?: Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins – Bush or Kerry – will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two historical examples to predict scenarios. (16-Oct-2004)

Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve raises short term interest rates significantly: Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead. (21-Sep-2004)

On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing significantly: Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military actions to halt or even avenge terrorism (11-Sep-2004)

Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?: Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway because Bush is in danger of being ‘Hooverized’ (24-Aug-2004)

Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the conflict between China and Taiwan: Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a conflict between China and Taiwan. (23-Aug-2004)

Today’s slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick genocide in Rwanda in 1994: Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding Africa’s geography explains why. (22-Aug-2004)

Oil prices spiking on supply fears: There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia’s oil production is peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther. (3-Aug-2004)

Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile to America: Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable. (26-Jul-2004)

Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the Democratic convention.: He’s tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose he read my web site? (25-Jul-2004)

Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to streets in revolt in Gaza: Arafat’s offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war among Palestinian factions (19-Jul-2004)

“I, Robot” is science fiction, but intelligent computers will soon be science fact.: When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that this changes everything? (9-Jul-2004)

Alan Greenspan’s Mixed Emotions: More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high debt levels and stock valuations. (6-Jul-2004)

Operation Summer Pulse 04: Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead to an inevitable war over Taiwan? (6-Jul-2004)

Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect: Despite the “Green Revolution,” world population continues to grow faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons why wars occur. (28-Jun-2004)

Beheadings part of increasing conflict level throughout Mideast: The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan. (23-Jun-2004)

Stock market increasingly volatile: Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of increasingly high volatility. (17-May-04)

Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised): They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil war and harsh rhetoric. That’s much more than a coincidence. (8-May-2004)

Taiwan’s Wild Election Battle: Taiwan’s election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing massive protests. (11-Apr-04)

What Iraqi Civil War?: Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was impossible. Despite the constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and high-priced analysts, I’ve been right so far. Here’s why. (09-Apr-04)

Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike: Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to all-out war (21-Mar-04)

Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected significance: The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11 attacks had on Americans. (15-Mar-04)

Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy: A historical analysis of a potential crisis. (4-Mar-04)

Anti-Shi’ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan: So far, Sunni and Shi’ite leaders in Iraq aren’t taking the bait. (2-Mar-04)

The New Sexual Revolution: The pendulum is swinging back. (27-Feb-04)

Alan Greenspan’s Mea Culpa: Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger (08-Jan-04)

Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war: Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the “clash of civilizations” between Islam and Christianity. (15-Nov-03)

“Ping-Pong Terrorism” in Mideast leading inevitably to major regional war: Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing. (10-Oct-03)

Schwarzenegger’s victory could spell trouble for Bush: It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars. (8-Oct-03)

What if Al Gore were President?: Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here’s what they SHOULD be saying. (26-Sep-03)

Is China unraveling?: Should you invest in the world’s fastest growing economy? Analysts say yes, but there are ominous generational signs of financial and social instability in China. (10-Sep-03)

Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire: Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more fend off a large regional war? (21-Aug-03)

Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire against terrorists: During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to shrink from more violence. (19-Aug-03)

Riots in Iran: Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs? Generational Dynamics says ‘No.’ (25-Jun-03)

Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off: This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that the good news won’t last. (04-Jun-03)

“Mideast Roadmap” – Will it bring peace?: Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the Mideast. (01-May-03)

France and Germany: Why are they becoming anti-American? (15-Feb-03)

The Anti-War Movement: Will it gain traction? (15-Feb-03)

North and South Korea: Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war? (22-Jan-03)

Turkey: Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to? (24-Mar-03)

Japan: Is Japan’s economy finally near collapse? (26-Mar-03)


Stock Market:


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Will stocks rise or fall in 2004? (1-Jan-04)

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Copying Articles

Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites, provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is included back to the article on this web site. – John J. Xenakis


State of the World
Conflict risk level for next six months
W. Europe 1 Arab Israeli 3
Russia Caucasus 3 Kashmir 3
China 2 North Korea 2
Financial 3 Bird flu 3
Key: 1=green 1=Low risk 2=yellow 2=Med 3=red 3=High
Web Log

Web Log: Informal comments on current news and trends.


Generational split among Tibetans increases chances of conflict with China.: Tibet’s government in exile ended negotiations with China on Saturday…. (23-Nov-2008)

Detroit auto makers are asked to produce survival plans, with markets in free fall: Generational theory asks the question: When will we see a panic?… (21-Nov-2008)

Unrest grows in China as unemployment situation becomes “grim”: Labor unrest is becoming a “top concern” for China’s government,… (20-Nov-2008)

Markets fall to new lows as deflation tightens its grip: Fears grow of a Detroit auto maker bankruptcy…. (20-Nov-2008)

Bailout fever seems to be petering out as Paulson reiterates his claims of victory: With no immediate crises going on, politicians just settle for rhetoric…. (19-Nov-2008)

A generational view of China’s growing melamine food disaster: On Thursday, the FDA issued a nationwide alert, banning Chinese dairy products… (17-Nov-2008)

Rumors abound in Russia of a palace coup by Vladimir Putin: A new constitutional amendment leaves people wondering what he’s planning…. (15-Nov-2008)

Treasury Secretary Paulson declares victory, then reverses direction.: Wall Street stock prices plummeted 5% on Wednesday,… (13-Nov-2008)

In Flanders Fields:(11-Nov-2008)

Panicked China announces gargantuan stimulus package, as AIG bailout is almost doubled: This was another hugely historic day, though few people paid attention…. (11-Nov-2008)

The spectre of deflation forces a historic change in economic theory: Economists are shocked that the fight against inflation is over…. (8-Nov-2008)

“Hindutva” terrorist violence against Muslims shocks Indians: A terrorist network linked to the assassination of Mahatma Gandhi… (6-Nov-2008)

What to expect from a Barack Obama presidency: A landslide victory on Tuesday now seems all but certain…. (4-Nov-2008)

Markets enter another turbulent week, as effects of bailout are questioned: Investors seemed very optimistic for the first time in weeks… (3-Nov-2008)

China’s economy slowing down significantly: Chinese society is at risk of increasing instability,… (2-Nov-2008)

Dalai Lama hints at significant change of strategy for Tibet vs China: A special strategy meeting for Tibetan exiles will occur in mid-November…. (31-Oct-2008)

Stocks soar worldwide as corporate earnings plummet: Panic buying pushes indexes up 10-11%…. (29-Oct-2008)

What’s coming next: Understanding the deflationary spiral: Why are the dollar and the yen getting stronger, while the euro is getting weaker?… (27-Oct-2008)

Wall Street index futures frozen at “Limit Down” at 7 am Friday: Stock markets in Asia and Europe are in free fall this morning,… (24-Oct-2008)

Roubini: The situation is “sheer panic,” as hundreds of hedge funds are going bust: Policy makers may need to close markets for one or two weeks…. (24-Oct-2008)

Pakistan nears bankruptcy, as China refuses aid: Pakistan will forced to seek unpleasant help from the IMF,… (20-Oct-2008)

A BBC interview with with another clueless economist: The questions were penetrating, but NYU economist Mark Gertler evaded them all…. (19-Oct-2008)

Warren Buffett joins the kool-aid crowd: In his dotage, he seems determined to bankrupt himself…. (18-Oct-2008)

Stock markets in Iraq and Iran are surging.: Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad says “it is the end of capitalism.”… (17-Oct-2008)

Market selloff resumes savagely, as markets collapse around the world: Commentary on Wednesday has been the most negative I’ve ever heard,… (16-Oct-2008)

Corporate earnings continue to plummet: Price/earnings ratio (P/E10 only) falls below average for first time in 13 years…. (15-Oct-2008)

We’re all Icelanders now, as markets rocket 10% around the world: The world is a much more dangerous place today than yesterday…. (14-Oct-2008)

European leaders race the clock, while G-7 leaders make reassuring pronouncements: Once again, officials are attempting to take action before Asian markets open… (12-Oct-2008)

There’s never before been a day like this on Wall Street.: Possible exception: One of the days just before or after the 1929 crash…. (11-Oct-2008)

Stock market is in free fall, as forced selling accelerates: A worldwide full scale panic may be in progress…. (10-Oct-2008)

Desperate international intervention fails to calm markets.: The remaining hope: The news is so bad that it must be over…. (9-Oct-2008)

More convulsions on Wall street, as financial crisis spreads around the world: The country of Iceland is bankrupt (or almost bankrupt)… (8-Oct-2008)

Markets plummet deeply around the world.: But Wall Street investors are giggling with glee…. (7-Oct-2008)

European integration is collapsing as banking crisis spreads rapidly: In the so-called “European Union,” it’s every country for itself now…. (6-Oct-2008)

The origins of the hare-brained “capitulation” fallacy: It’s based on a complete misreading of what happened in 1987…. (5-Oct-2008)

The $700 billion bailout bill becomes law. Now what happens?: We can learn some lessons from China…. (4-Oct-2008)

Are your 401K funds safe?: I received the following question from a web site reader…. (3-Oct-2008)

The nutty bailout bill discussion: As I listen to politicians on both sides of the $700 billion Bailout of the World (BOTW) plan,… (3-Oct-2008)

Pundits are all smiles, as they await a “panic crash” or “retail capitulation”: Panic selling on Monday became panic buying on Tuesday,… (1-Oct-2008)

Far-right victory in Austria stuns Europe and Israel: Anyone who has seen “The Sound of Music”… (29-Sep-2008)

Markets plummet 7-9% after unexpected rejection of bailout plan by Congress: Banks in America and Europe are falling like dominoes, as credit constructor tightens its grip…. (29-Sep-2008)

Washington officials to spend Sunday evening watching Asian markets: The details of the $700 billion Bailout of the World (BOTW) plan… (28-Sep-2008)

North Korea resumes nuclear weapon development amidst generational succession struggle: South Korea is considering retaliatory economic action,… (27-Sep-2008)

Credit markets “crash” as bank lending is frozen.: Officials are bitterly divided over the $700 billion Bailout of the World (BOTW) plan,… (26-Sep-2008)

Ben Bernanke’s Great Historic Experiment is at the brink: Desperation sets in as credit markets continue to seize up…. (25-Sep-2008)

Bickering Congressmen may delay the $800 B financial Bailout of The World (BOTW): And we have some expert advice on preserving your savings…. (24-Sep-2008)

Islamabad Pakistan: Massive Taliban/al-Qaeda terrorist bombing: “Pakistan’s 9/11″ has left the country in a state of shock,… (22-Sep-2008)

Visit the new Generational Dynamics forum!!: Discuss world events and generational theory…. (21-Sep-2008)

Officials working to prevent “a complete meltdown of the financial systems”: Congress and administration officials are working through another weekend… (20-Sep-2008)

Government promises to buy bad debt to end the credit crisis: Stock markets stage huge comeback as giddy investors pile in…. (19-Sep-2008)

Stories from all over about the Muslim world.: The man with 86 wives, and a fatwa against Mickey Mouse…. (18-Sep-2008)

Web site readers express sadness, anxiety and anger: It’s beginning to sink in…. (18-Sep-2008)

Panic selling may be close, as money market fund “breaks the buck”: Ordinary people with 401Ks will start losing their investments…. (18-Sep-2008)

The Fed will loan American International Group (AIG) an $85 billion bridge loan: In a stunning turn of events that is widely recognized as desperate,… (17-Sep-2008)

Markets in total chaos on historic day.: The pictures tell the story…. (16-Sep-2008)

“Lipstick on a pig” continues to obscure critical issues.: As McCain and Obama converge on the Iraq issue, Afghanistan is rarely mentioned…. (14-Sep-2008)

Investors are having another nail-biting weekend as Lehman heads off the cliff: The nominal deadline: 7 pm ET Sunday, when the Asian stock markets open…. (13-Sep-2008)

Is the lipstick debate a sign of the times?: All the talk about lipstick in the Presidential campaign debate… (11-Sep-2008)

Two days after Fannie/Freddie crisis, another crisis looms at Lehman: Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. share prices fell a record 45 percent on Thursday,… (10-Sep-2008)

Another stunning and historic bailout: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Giddy investors are popping the champagne corks…. (9-Sep-2008)

Asif Ali Zardari, widower of Benazir Bhutto, wins Pakistan presidency: The backdrop is Pakistan’s fury over US armed forces assault into Pakistan’s tribal areas… (8-Sep-2008)

On “60 Minutes,” Bob Woodward makes ridiculous claims about Iraq.: He says the surge succeeded because of some magic new military technique…. (7-Sep-2008)

Long-term negative market trends asserting themselves strongly: Stock and commodities prices plummet as worldwide foreclosures and recessions worsen…. (5-Sep-2008)

Japanese government paralysis continues as Yasuo Fukuda steps down: This was the third Prime Minister to step down in three years…. (4-Sep-2008)

Consequences of Russia/Georgia conflict spread to southern Caucasus: Will “football diplomacy” save the day?… (3-Sep-2008)

“Terminator” style robot reassembles itself after being kicked into pieces: This is hilarious to watch…. (1-Sep-2008)

Web Log Pages

Current Web Log
Web Log Summary – 2008
Web Log Summary – 2007
Web Log Summary – 2006
Web Log Summary – 2005
Web Log Summary – 2004

Web Log – December, 2008
Web Log – November, 2008
Web Log – October, 2008
Web Log – September, 2008
Web Log – August, 2008
Web Log – July, 2008
Web Log – June, 2008
Web Log – May, 2008
Web Log – April, 2008
Web Log – March, 2008
Web Log – February, 2008
Web Log – January, 2008
Web Log – December, 2007
Web Log – November, 2007
Web Log – October, 2007
Web Log – September, 2007
Web Log – August, 2007
Web Log – July, 2007
Web Log – June, 2007
Web Log – May, 2007
Web Log – April, 2007
Web Log – March, 2007
Web Log – February, 2007
Web Log – January, 2007
Web Log – December, 2006
Web Log – November, 2006
Web Log – October, 2006
Web Log – September, 2006
Web Log – August, 2006
Web Log – July, 2006
Web Log – June, 2006
Web Log – May, 2006
Web Log – April, 2006
Web Log – March, 2006
Web Log – February, 2006
Web Log – January, 2006
Web Log – December, 2005
Web Log – November, 2005
Web Log – October, 2005
Web Log – September, 2005
Web Log – August, 2005
Web Log – July, 2005
Web Log – June, 2005
Web Log – May, 2005
Web Log – April, 2005
Web Log – March, 2005
Web Log – February, 2005
Web Log – January, 2005
Web Log – December, 2004
Web Log – November, 2004
Web Log – October, 2004
Web Log – September, 2004
Web Log – August, 2004
Web Log – July, 2004
Web Log – June, 2004

General

April 20, 2004, presentation: This Generational Dynamics presentation was given last year at MIT in Cambridge, Mass. Click here for presentation slides


Book Reviews: Reviews of books on current events and history

About: About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis

Comment: Discussion and Comments

Crisis wars graphic: Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations

Archive: Archived items removed from the site home page.

International Investment Advisories

This is an experiment – Using the Generational Dynamics methodology to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around the world.


India India: Hooray for Bollywood!: Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech pharmaceuticals to Spiderman. (5-Jul-03)

India India: Socially beneficial profits from “Untouchable” investments: For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the lot of India’s Dalits provides an ideal investment target — high-risk but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size. (7-Jul-03)

Iran Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride: Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the “Axis of Evil” doesn’t help investors. (8-Jul-03)

Conflict Index: A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.

Credits

Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.


NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.
Recent S&P 500 Price/Earnings ratio and S&P 500 Index from MarketGauge ® by DataView, LLC:

Copyright © 2002-2008 by John J. Xenakis.         

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