Black woman explains to them that they are 1. not human 2. racists 3. demons

Image result for white nationalism

 

Room of useful idiots sits politely as a racist black woman explains to them that they are

1. not human

2. racists

3. demons

The whites shown in these now-commonplace videos are far from making the sanity cut at this point. Yes, there is also a brood of insane black enemies and traitorous whites, but what to do with the “Insane White Question”? These Traitors will be the enemy for several generations to come. For some, there may be longer-term hope in re-education, but the prognosis is grim, and they may need to be put down for their own good.

The Impossibility of Equality

http://thealternativehypothesis.org/index.php/2017/01/07/the-impossibility-of-equality/

Many people think that racial populations are “equal” with respect to their genetic potential for cognitive traits. On this website, we look at a lot of data having to do with racial differences in various traits to assess the validity, or lack thereof, of this assumption. Sometimes, though, it is important to step back and recognize just how impossible the notion of equality truly is. If the races really are genetically equal with respect to most psychological traits, it is nothing short of an evolutionary miracle, and in this article, I will explain why.

We all accept that the races differ in various ways for genetic reasons. For instance, East Asians are shorter than Africans and Europeans. Certain body types were more likely to evolve in different climates. In response to environmental variables such as UV radiation, we evolved differences in skin color, hair color, hair texture, etc. Some historic populations had cows available to milk while others did not and, so, some populations are lactose tolerant while others are not. Some populations had to face malaria, while others did not, and this led to differences in our blood. The list could go on. This is all utterly uncontroversial.

The races also differ in brain size. This has been shown repeatedly, all over the world, dating back more than a century (Last, 2016). More recently, it has been shown that you can predict someone’s race by looking at the shape of their brain (Fann et al. 2015). Yet, it is supposed that, unlike the racial differences in virtually every other part of the body, these ones are due entirely to the environment. This is obviously a political move. Evolution doesn’t care that genetic differences in personality are politically controversial, it sees the brain as just another organ. If we evolved differences in all the others, we probably evolved differences in the brain too.

In fact, the brain is a more likely site for genetic differences between races than most other parts of the body are. Why? Because researchers have shown that genes involved in the brain are the ones that differ most between the races (Wu and Zhang, 2011) .

asd.jpg

“Other genes that showed higher levels of population differentiation include those involved in pigmentation, spermatid, nervous system and organ development, and some metabolic pathways, but few involved with the immune system.” – Wu and Zhang (2011) (emphasis added)

Given this, if anything we should expect racial differences in the brain to be larger than other racial differences. The assumption that they are infinitely smaller, such that they do not exist, is not genetically plausible.

Ultimately, this is just common sense. Populations around the world had different food sources. They hunted different kinds of animals and picked different kinds of plants. They lived in different climates. They fought different diseases. These differences impact behavior. For instance, some animals require more group work to kill than others. Harsh winters require more pre-planning and delayed gratification (saving food) than more temperate climates. The more easily acquirable food is around, the less important working with the group is. The more predators and other humans are around, the more physical strength and aggression will be needed. The more pathogens are present, the more important cleanliness will be. This list could go on infinitely.

And maybe you think one of these explanations is wrong and an environmental difference will have the opposite effect of what I have said. That is certainly possible, but the idea that any one of these environmental differences, let alone all of them together, will have no effect whatsoever on the selective pressures for any mental traits is completely implausible.

And this is all before culture comes into the picture. Once that happens, these differences are magnified times a hundred. In some cultures, being smart is the best way to have lots of kids. In others, physical strength, or determination, or social intelligence, etc., will be the most effective way. The notion that in every culture every psychological variable has the exact same association with fertility, which is the logical implication of egalitarianism, is obviously insane.

That culture has sped up evolution is evident in our own DNA. By looking at our genome, researchers can estimate how the speed of evolution has changed over time. In 2007, a landmark paper was released showing that evolution sped up by a factor of 100 within the last 5000 years, suggesting that the development of civilization, which happened at different times and in different ways around the globe, had an extremely dramatic impact on evolution (Hawks et al., 2007).

Even more recently, we are starting to get some idea of how culture influenced evolution. For instance, a 2014 paper found that England’s “war on murder”, a time in which criminals were essentially sent to die for fairly petty crimes, had a significant eugenic effect on the population in terms of criminality (Frost and Harpending, 2015). And, after all, how couldn’t it? If you kill a ton of criminals every generation, genes that predispose people towards criminality are obviously going to become less common.

My pointing in bringing this up is not to suggest that England is especially non-criminal. Other countries no doubt had similar periods and England has had its share of crime problems in its history. Nonetheless, the “war on murder” is a vivid example of the fact that culture can, and in fact must, impact evolution. Anything that differentially impacts people’s probability of reproducing will. Given this, and given the enormous amount of culture diversity which has existed on earth for millennia, it is, once again, lunacy to suggest that this all led to every population on earth possessing the exact same genetic predisposition for every mental trait there is.

On top of all this, there’s the Neanderthals (and others). After humans left Africa they met, and bred with, other species or subspecies of human. These other humans had been evolving separately from us for a really long time and they are universally accepted to have been different from us physically, and mentally, due to evolution. Some populations bred with these groups more than others, and Africans didn’t breed with them at all. This has led to the races differing in their degree of Neanderthal admixture.

Moreover, Neanderthal DNA is associated with various traits, including mental ones. For instance, one researcher described their findings from early last year thusly: “We discovered associations between Neanderthal DNA and a wide range of traits, including immunological, dermatological, neurological, psychiatric and reproductive diseases.” Specifically, they found that Neanderthal DNA was related to traits like nicotine addiction, depression, and other mental traits.

How is it even possible, you might ask, for the races to differ in their level of Neanderthal admixture and still be “equal” if Neanderthals weren’t “equal”? It’s not. For this, and all the other reason’s laid out here, equality is, practically speaking, a biological impossibility.

Non-Whites of Every Stripe Vote Democrat

In America, non-White people vote overwhelmingly for the democrat party. Blacks have been voting democrat since the 1930’s, and Hispanics have been as far back as we have been tracking Hispanic voting patterns. Asians used to vote Republican, but came over to the democrats in the 1990’s.

In America, non-White people vote overwhelmingly for the democrat party. Blacks have been voting democrat since the 1930’s, and Hispanics have been as far back as tracking data on Hispanics goes. Asians used to vote Republican, but came over to the democrats in the 1990’s.

AsiansBlacks 2HispanicsWhites

Exit poll data shows the dramatic effect this has had on American democracy: if White Americans were the only people that voted in presidential elections, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and Barak Obama would have never been president.

It is important then to understand why non-Whites vote democrat. To many, the proximal cause of non-Whites voting democrat is obvious: non-Whites hold liberal political views relative to Whites.

Bigger vs Smaller Government

Hate Speech

On this view, the question then gets moved one step back and becomes “Why do non-Whites have liberal political views”. Even this first step is a mistake. The blog The Audacious Epigone has recently demonstrated, via an analysis of data from the General Social Survey, that even self-described conservative non-Whites voted for Obama in 2012.

(Links here, here, and here.)

To get a closer look at this phenomena, I examined how people voted, by race, according to how they answered questions about the size of government and wealth redistribution (economic views) and gay marriage and abortion (social views). In 2012, non-Whites who were pro-life and pro choice, for and against gay marriage, for smaller and larger government, and for or against wealth redistribution, all voted for Obama with the exception that Hispanics, who were against wealth redistribution broke for Romney by 6 points.

Abortion, 2012Gay Marriage, 2012Size of government, 2012Size of government, 2024

Even this Hispanic exception is not reliable. See, for instance, this data on the 2008 election:

Redistribution, 2008.PNG

(And yes, the Black patterns stays the same when you look at pre-Obama elections.)

Thinking that the government should be smaller had the largest impact on the Black vote. Because of this, I decided to look at Blacks who self-identify as conservatives and who think the government should be smaller. They still self identified as democrats. (I switched to party ID because the sample size of Black conservatives who think the government should be smaller is not very large and party ID was asked for decades. By contrast, questions on elections are only asked for 3 waves of the GSS.)

BOTH.PNG

Demographic variables follow a similar pattern. Pew data shows that Non-Whites at every level of education and income, and of both sexes, are more likely to identify as democrats than republicans.

12345

123

Political ideology and demographic data strongly predict how White people vote. To many White people, I suspect that it is almost incomprehensible that these things would not be the major factors determining who someone favors for president. And yet, for non-Whites something entirely different is clearly going on.

Some might suppose that this other factor is racial tribalism and, indeed, measures of racial tribalism do predict how strongly Blacks favor the democrat party. But even Blacks who do not think, for example, that government assistance to Blacks should be increased, or Blacks who think that the republican party is better than the democrat party for Black people, prefer the democrat party.

13

Similarly, Blacks who do, and who do not, feel that they have been discriminated against because of their race prefer the Democrat party.

Discriminated Against.PNG

In fact, Blacks who both want smaller government and think that government assistance to Blacks should be lower prefer the Democrat party.

BOTH.PNG

Measuring ethnic tribalism among Hispanics is a little less straightforward, but immigration views seem like a reasonable proxy. On a 6 point scale of party affiliation, with 0 meaning strong republican and 6 meaning strong democrat, Hispanics who want immigration increased by a lot had an average score of 3.6 while Hispanics who want immigration decreased by a lot had an average score of 3.3. Both groups of Hispanics preferred democrats, and to roughly equivalent degrees.

All this is not to say that demographics, political ideologue, and ethnocentrism/perception of racism have no impact on non-White voting patterns. The data above shows that they do. However, there is some other factor which biases non-Whites strongly in favor of the democrat party so much so that even with these other factors removed non-Whites would still vote democrat.

I’m not sure what that factor is.To my knowledge, neither is anyone else. This makes the prospects of getting non-Whites to vote republican especially abysmal. First, we would have to figure out what this mystery factor (or factors) is (or are). Then we would have to deal with this factor, racial tribalism, and the fact that non-Whites are mostly liberal. In short, courting non-Whites to the republican party is a pipe dream.

Fiscal Impact of Whites, Blacks and Hispanics

Even when all military spending is assigned to whites, blacks on net cost $7,700 per person per year. Black lives have a deep fiscal impact. Also, countries which are majority black have chronic financial problems.

Previously I wrote an article that just looked at the net budgetary impact of whites and non-whites. Here I decided to break down the black and hispanic numbers as well.

The most recent year with good data on everything is 2014. So that is the year all of these numbers are from.

Before getting into the methods, I’ll first show the final impact of this so you can see what a big deal this is:

Budgetary Impact of Whites, Blacks and Hispanics in 2014

Category Equal Military Static Military
Whites $553.52 billion $249.52 billion
White Per Capita $2,795 $1,260
Blacks -$389.71 billion -$306.53 billion
Black Per Capita -$10,016 -$7,700
Hispanics -$411.95 billion -$291.3 billion
Hispanic Per Capita -$7,298 -$5,160

This takes into account taxes paid and government services consumed at both the State and Federal level. The “Equal Military” column treats military spending as a service consumed equally on a per-capita basis between blacks, whites and hispanics. The “Static military” assigns all military spending to whites.

On net, whites generate a $249.52 billion surplus, or $1,260 per person if you assign 100% of military spending to whites. If you just give whites a proportional share of military spending, their surplus goes up to $553.52 billion total and $2,795 per capita.

Blacks, by contrast, run a budget deficit of $389.71 billion, or $10,016 per capita. If 100% of military spending is assigned to whites, blacks STILL run a $306.53 billion deficit, or $7,700 per capita.

Hispanics run a budget deficit of $411.95 billion of $7,289 per capita if military spending is proportional. If 100% of military spending is assigned to whites hispanics run a deficit of $291.3 billion, or $5,160 per capita.

Race and Tax Revenue

So regarding the methodology, I first looked in several places to figure out how much each race paid in taxes, as the government doesn’t keep such statistics. However, there are statistics collected by the tax foundation showing how much each income bracket pays in taxes.

And the census has data on income for each race and the proportion of brackets they are. And so using this, we can deduce how much each racial group pays in taxes:

Race and Tax Payment in 2014

Bracket % of taxes bracket pays % of bracket is white % of bracket is hispanic % of bracket is black % of taxes paid by whites-in-bracket % of taxes paid by blacks-in-bracket % of taxes paid by hispanics-in-bracket
Top 5% 38.9 80.87 6.17 5.00 31.46 1.945 2.4001
6-20% 25.4 77.72 7.80 7.48 19.74 1.8999 1.9812
21-40% 18.3 73.65 10.70 8.91 13.48 1.6305 1.9581
41-60% 9.9 68.3 12.68 13.76 6.76 1.3622 1.2553
61-80% 5.1 63.01 17.89 16.67 3.21 0.8502 0.9124
81-100% 2.1 57.41 16.23 21.25 1.21 0.4463 0.3408
Total 75.86 8.134 8.8479

This comes out to $4529.52 billion paid by whites, $528.30 billion paid by hispanics, and $485.67 billion paid by blacks.

Race and Government Use

So how does that compare with services consumed? Well for Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and Welfare I was able to find racial breakdowns. But what about state spending? Roads, schools, trash pick-up, police? For all of that I lumped into “equal government” and assigned the cost of it on a population basis.

Race and Government Use 2014

Service Budget White Use % White Use $ Black Use % Black Use $ Hisp. Use % Hisp. Use $
“Equal Gov.t” 3,482 62.1 2162.32 12.2 424.8 17.7 616.3
Social Security 1,262 84.07 1060.96 9.31 117.5 6.23 78.6
Medicare 505 76 383.90 10 50.5 9 45.45
Medicaid 476 39.06 185.93 19.9 94.72 26.43 125.8
Welfare 472 38.8 183.14 39.8 187.86 15.7 74.1
Total 6,197 64.16 3976 14.1 875.38 15.2 940.25
(Static Mil.) 6,197 69.07 4280 12.78 792.2 13.2 819.6

So as it happened, and this is something I thought going in, the race differences in government consumption are not a very big deal, and the real cause of the budgetary impacts of races is the difference in tax payment. I also found some data showing that whites made up 75% of millionaires, and I thought “ya know, based on this, whites overall probably pay around 75% of the taxes” – and I was correct.

Wage Impact of Racial Diversity

One thing people will say in response is that white wages are jacked up by having non-whites around. This doesn’t appear to be true when you look at regions in the US:

Median Income and Proportion of Popoulation of Whites by Region

Region % White Median Income of White Males Median Income of White Females
Northeast 67.6 $40,435 $25,090
Midwest 77.2 $36,892 $22,803
South 59.0 $37,666 $22,199
West 50.9 $41,366 $23,140

So a big impact doesn’t just pop out at you. And if there is a correlation between median white income in a state, or county, and the proportion of blacks and/or hispanics in that state or county, well then the next step would be to show causality.

Another interesting thing to point out is that a Dutch meta-analysis of 384 studies on the impact of immigration on native wages in the United States and EU countries found that a 1% increase in immigrants as part of the labor force was associated with a 0.119% reduction in native wages.

But one thing to consider is correlation and causation. Just because a 1% increase in immigration is only associated with a 0.119% decrease in native wages doesn’t mean that the actual impact is that small.

So we’re looking at a small negative impact on wages, not the big positive impacts you would need for the libertarian story to hold water. I mean it’s not stupid to believe in the absence of data; lower-skill people come in, earn wages, white people are freed for higher-earning labor. But it doesn’t appear to be actually happening.

If you want to argue that the presence of blacks and hispanics around white people drives up white wages, that’s not something that is immediately obvious from the data, it’s only intuitive if you to hold very pro-market priors. You need more than just “ideas that make sense” and connect-the-dots / painting-by-numbers economic narratives that libertarians like to spin, and then act as if they’ve actually discovered something.

Conclusion

The negative fiscal impact of blacks and hispanics is significant. All of this discussion of a “national debt” and “deficit” is primarily of function of blacks and hispanics. Without them, we would be running budget surpluses today, even when keeping the military the same size.

Immigration Impact Meta-Analysis:
http://dspace.ubvu.vu.nl/bitstream/handle/1871/9737/04134.pdf?sequence=1

Taxes paid by brackets:
http://www.ctj.org/pdf/taxday2014.pdf

Racial groups by income bracket:
https://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstables/032014/hhinc/hinc05R.xls

Medicaid Enrollment by race, projected from these numbers:
https://www.ccwdata.org/web/guest/medicaid-charts#a2_eligibility_race_2010

Welfare use by race:
http://www.statisticbrain.com/welfare-statistics/

Medicare Enrollment:
http://kff.org/report-section/income-and-assets-of-medicare-beneficiaries-2014-2030-tables/

Social Security Enrollment by race in 2014:
https://books.google.com/books?id=72kMCAAAQBAJ&pg=PA3324&lpg=PA3324&dq=Social+security+beneficiaries+2014+by+race+black+hispanic+white&source=bl&ots=IMvvS1GlQM&sig=Ry6RF3ZFXZ2lrIirsA2RClYSRE8&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjX6uzqydDMAhVr5oMKHX_JBaQ4ChDoAQg4MAQ#v=onepage&q=Social%20security%20beneficiaries%202014%20by%20race%20black%20hispanic%20white&f=false

Total US Government Spending at all levels 2014
http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/year_spending_2014USbt_17bs2n#usgs302

Total US Government Revenue of all types and at all levels 2014
http://www.usgovernmentrevenue.com/piechart_2014_US_total

The most basic fundamental of life is struggle. All lifeforms, by their very nature, are engaged in a constant campaign to thwart the omnipresent threat of nonexistence. Even the most primitive amoeba struggles for each and every moment of its seemingly—to us—meaningless existence to resist re-absorption into the void of nonexistence from which it sprang at the moment of its inception. Life is struggle, every moment of it. Whether or not you are aware of it, a countless number of tiny cells within your own body are—right now, as you read—currently engaged in a heroic and nonstop battle to preserve your body and its vitals against the destructive and disintegrating forces of the entropy-laden Universe. Societies and cultures—although not alive in the same sense that plants and animals are—also struggle to persist and maintain themselves amidst the chaos of our realm. And we humans, like the cells within our own bodies, are the ones who maintain such cultural entities via our collective actions. When the members of any given society play constructive, positive roles within that society, the society in question thrives, grows, and prospers. However, when the members of a society acquire goals or interests that are unrelated to—or worse, run counter to—the success of their society, that society will disintegrate just as surely as the body whose cells have turned cancerous will die.
There is and has always been ONLY one solution to the threat we face, you may not like it, you may hate me for saying it, you may even cry yourself to sleep and call me crazy for even suggesting it.

Judge Upholds School Ban on American Flag, Mexican Flag Allowed

Judge Upholds School Ban on American Flag, Mexican Flag Allowed

By H.W. De Kryger

After students at a San Fransico school were threatened and racially taunted (“F—- them white boys, f—- them white boys”) for simply wearing an American flag, the school reacted not by punishing the students giving the threats, but by ordering the victims of the taunts to “either to change their Old Glory shirts, turn them inside out or go home”. Students wearing Mexican flags were given no such orders however.

The parents of the American flag wearing students took the school to court over this blatantly discriminatory behavior, but in a mind boggling decision the judge ruled for the school, arguing the ban was for the students’ safety and there was no need to ban the Mexican flag, since threats of violence were only against those wearing American flags. Thus in the backwards justice of this judge, victims of threats and taunts must have their rights curbed, while the perpetrators of such threats are free to do as they please.

From WorldNetDaily:

The same federal judge who said it was perfectly fine for a homosexual judge in a long-term relationship with another man to rule on a dispute over homosexual marriage – a ruling from which he might benefit – now has concluded that it’s all right for a school to censor clothing displaying the American flag because there were students who threatened violence against those wearing the clothing.

The judge, James Ware, of the federal court in the Northern District of California’s San Francisco Division, has dismissed a complaint brought against the Morgan Hill Unified School District where the Old Glory theme on student T-shirts had been censored.

He found that it was reasonable because there were students who apparently hated the emblem enough to threaten with violence other students who were wearing it, and the censorship was “equal” even though the Mexican flag was not also censored because no one threatened violence against the students wearing that emblem.

Read more: Judge endorses censorship of Old Glory

The final years of the American experiment.

Be ready our time is coming!

The final years of the Amerikan experiment.

Demographics means something, heritage, culture, race, all mean something in the greater history of humanity. Any nation that ignores these universal principles, walks the path of self destruction.  The decade to follow we will see the end of the Amerikan empire, the fall of the Western world into the progressive socialist chaos, the end of an age. Western liberal democracies will come to an end, and something new will be born in its place.

From: http://lewrockwell.com/slavo/slavo58.1.html

Race war, class war, anti-government riots –you name it. All of it is headed our way. The sentiment across the nation, as Michael Bloomberg suggested in a recent interview, is that Americans know something is wrong in this country. For every individual and the groups with which they affiliate it’s different. For the black panthers it’s racism and poverty. For unions it’s benefit cuts, wage cuts and free market solutions. For Tea Party members it’s an intrusive and socialist government. The majority of America is not happy and they’ve lost hope, because regardless of what group you identify with, what color you are or what way you lean politically, you’re losing jobs, falling behind on essential bills, having difficulty putting food on the table and are constantly being accosted by government on all levels. When the riots start –and they will –the core motivators for individuals who hit the streets will be similar. Where the difference will arise is who each person or group will blame. Those elites in the upper echelons of our command and control apparatus thrive on hate, confusion and panic, and they will use our own ignorance against us. When we discuss the coming civil disobedience and unrest in America, we may find ourselves visualizing protests where the people join together to oust a tyrannical government. Be forewarned. This is not the most likely outcome –at least not at the outset. With so many different ideologies in this country, every one of us interprets the problems and directs blame a different way. These differences will be used against us; they’ll be used to turn us against each other. As you watch the following short speech from Black Panther National Chairman Malik Shabazz, consider that, while you may disagree with his solutions to the problems or where he places some of the blame, his core message is very similar to those of others that are fed up with what’s going on in this country.

New Black Panthers:

“Our message to the State Department, our message to the CIA, our message to Homeland Security, our message to the government today, is that your enemy is not our enemy. Your enemy in Afghanistan, your enemy in Iran, your enemy that you are bombing in Libya today –those are not our enemies. Our enemies are right here in the United States of America. Our battle is not against Ghaddafi. Our battle is against police brutality right here at home. Our battle is against budget cuts right here at home… … A message to the President, Barack Hussein Obama. We elected you. But we did not elect you to bomb your homeland. We did not elect you to bomb Africa. We are pleading with you Mr. Obama. You cannot make a compromise with the devil. The bible says resist the devil, and the devil shall flee from you. You can’t cut a deal with Satan, Mr. Obama. You got to stand up for God… … We have to fight. Gird up your loins college students. Gird up your loins young black man and young black woman, for the hour of war is at hand.”

Combine that statement with this one from the Chicano nationalist moments:

Chicano race organizations Calls for Race war?

Miguel Perez says he is the current president of Chicanos Unidos Arizona and an active member of La Raza. He says he also served as the vice president of MECHA in Fullerton California.

La Raza, or NCLA, is a militant Latino group that Obama is funding with American tax dollars. MECHA is a nationwide Latino student organization. MECHA explicitly calls for the creation of Atzlan, a new Chicano/Latino nation, in what is now the Southwest United States.

Perez is using Examiner.com to call for Latinos in the Southwest to arm themselves for race war. Perez tells his readers Latino groups believe they have enough people in states such as California, Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas to successfully wage a war on the United States. 

Who’s side will you be on?

Perez is hyping a call to arms by a fellow Chicano militant…

Phoenix-based Nuestros Reconquistos claims that there will be a war very similar to the Civil War fought in the next five years. “La Raza and MEChA have already talked to Latinos and Phoenix and explained that Latinos need to arm themselves for war,” says Nuestros Reconquistos President Manuel Longoria.

Cecilia Maldonado of Chicanos Unidos Arizona isn’t hoping for any sort of war, but believes it may be unavoidable. “For generations, our people have prepared us to take back the lands of the Southwest that were stolen from our Mexican ancestors. Because of the bad economy and many racist laws, Latinos will be forced to fight sooner than later,” says Mrs. Maldonado.

Perez is listed as the “civil rights” writer for the Phoenix area on examiner.com. He recently praised Obama for issuing a unilateral amnesty for illegal aliens by ordering law enforcement to cease deportations.

Miguel Perez, current president of Chicanos Unidos Arizona and an active member of La Raza, also served as the vice president of the Latino civil rights organization MECHA in Fullerton California. He is the son of two Mexican immigrants. Perez plans to become a lawyer in order to protect the rights of Latinos. You can reach Perez at mperezlaraza1985@gmail.com.

Phoenix-based Nuestros Reconquistos claims that there will be a war very similar to the Civil War fought in the next five years. “La Raza and MEChA have already talked to Latinos and Phoenix and explained that Latinos need to arm themselves for war,” says Nuestros Reconquistos President Manuel Longoria.

Don’t kid yourselves, this guy and MANY MANY of his fellow travelers are quite serious… dead serious in fact. They already have the numbers in many communities and will be able to easily overrun most adjacent communities for the simple fact that most people think it can’t or won’t happen. Come on, think about it, the majority of Americans believe that they are just here to bus our tables and cut our grass… they’re just good hard working decent people who only want a better life for themselves and their families… and most importantly, they’re no threat. That is what ALL media outlets and political/community leaders have been telling the people for years now.

Maybe in some states something like this might only last a week, but in states such as CA, AZ, & N.M. it would be devastating and they could easily gain control of large portions of the state. Look at the devastation that a relatively small number of drug gang members have wrought on whole cities just south of the border…and they’re killing their own people there! These guys basically hate white people, do you think for even a moment that they would have a problem with killing entire neighborhoods just to get their point across?

Go ahead and laugh this guy off and treat what he is saying as a joke, but do so at your own peril, Arizonians and seriously fear what I believe is coming.

The black and brown people want to defend their own people from aggression they believe whites will inflict upon them for the destruction of the Amerikcan nation, they understand that they are the cause of most of our problems, they know that they deserve nothing less then genocide for their racial crimes against the white race, and they are correct. But to believe that they would be able to hold on to any territory they steal from white Americans is foolish.  Let them have los Angels, atlanta, and other non white cities, a cluster of thermal nuclear bombs detonated in those cities, will make it clear we mean business. The challenge for we the vanguard will be to convince our racial comrades, that in a civil war we must use chemical, biological, nuclear, and concentration camps against our racial enemies.

They brought this upon themselves, they started this war by invading our communities, weakening our civilization, we will finish it. I support the nuclear option in the coming civil war, make it clear to all whites, they must as well.

Fall of the West is Accelerating

Major British historian says whites have been taught to act black.

Locust: Fall of the West is Accelerating, the problem is race, culture is part of race, race is part of culture.

British historian David Starkey tells BBC that England has created large numbers of whites who engage in thug behavior normally associated with blacks.

Starkey tells BBC that successful black men are typically seen as “acting white”  while white thugs “act black.” British media going ballistic.

Retaliation. Landlord evicting welfare mom after son engages in rioting.

Wisconsin Governor wants hate crime charges for state fair attacks.

During the opening night of the Wisconsin state fair, numerous white people were viciously attacked by black thugs as they left. Yet the police were quick to deny that racially motivated attacks took place.

Initially the police admitted to arresting a large number of black thugs for violent crimes that night. Yet they insisted that none of those arrested had been involved in attacking white people. They also stated that none would be charged with hate crimes. Now, as more evidence has come out, the police department seems to have done a complete 180. First claiming they arrested suspects for unrelated non-racial violent crimes, now admitting they in fact have suspects in racially motivated attacks.

The local media has been quick to downplay or censor the attacks as well, despite the existence of numerous frantic 911 calls.

From AP…

The investigation into 11 of the violent incidents on the opening night of the Wisconsin State Fair has resulted in the arrest of a 16-year-old African-American who reportedly told investigators he targeted whites.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker was asked on WLS Radio’s Roe and Roeper Show Friday if he thought the crimes warranted hate crime status, “I think it is absolutely outrageous, it is a hate crime, and I would imagine the prosecutor will be very aggressive on this. There is no tolerance whether it’s white on black or black on white, there shouldn’t be any tolerance in general for that kind of problems.”

West Allis police said Thursday the teen was arrested late Wednesday. The Milwaukee teen was booked on suspicion of attempted robbery and robbery. Police recommend that he face additional penalties for hate crimes.

Police say the teen told investigators whites were cho

News Roundup.

Crime:

16 year old black female, knicknamed “UZI,” is arrested for murder of rival gang member in New York City.

Atlanta sees 18th Waffle House armed robbery in only two weeks! Police are looking for two black males who they say are responsible for between 10-15 of the armed robberies.

Left-wing

White hating Bishop Tutu calls for confiscation of wealth from white South Africans. Says “black on black” violence is the white man’s fault.

SCLC protests monument at cemetery. Says memorialized Confederate soldiers is “racist.”

More of Barack Obama Sr. He was a bigamist, habitual drunk, and wife beater. Obama’s “Dreams of my Father” is nothing but a fantasy.

New York City Marxists call for solidarity with rioting thugs in London.

The group claims that Martin Luther King would have supported the rioters.

Radical Marxists in London urged white followers to join the rioters.

Several left-wing extremist sites aimed largely at a white Marxists have been glorifying the riots. Now the British media has outed a major hard-core Trotskyite for actively directing white Marxist thugs during the riots. 25 year old Jacob Bard-Rosenberg, is a self-described “student of critical theory.” He has been very visible in London’s extreme Marxist left. He sent numerous messages to his followers over twitter inciting them to riot.

sen because he considered them “easy targets.”

On opening night of the fair last week, 31 people were arrested and at least 11 people were hurt. The West Allis Police Department has said race was a factor in the 11 violent incidents it’s investigating.

This report came two days after the local police released an official statement stating:

“The police department issued a statement with details of arrests, saying ‘None of these incidents possessed elements that would compel the pursuance of a ‘hate crime’ prosecution.”

Witnesses reported attacks on the opening night of the fair that seemed to be racially motivated with young African Americans beating up white fair goers, but police say at this point there is not enough evidence to support such claims.”

More murders in England.

Police arrested a 22 year old black man for the horrific murder of a 68 year old white man. The man confronted several black rioters in the street and was attacked. Dozens of white pedestrians and motorists have been victims of brutal racially motivated attacks.

Read Article.

A black teen was shot and killed by another black male suspect. Police believe that the victim is a gang member and the perpetrator used the riots as a cover for the murder.

Another black male suspect fired a gun at a police officer. The officer’s radio stopped the bullet from hitting the officer in the face.

Radical left has completely ruined police forces in Europe.

The radical left has completely gutted the effectiveness of the police in European nations like Great Britain and Norway. First we saw the extremely slow response to the spree killer in Oslo. It took nearly 90 minutes for police to respond, because the only officers with access to firearms were far away. Apparently, the only law enforcement that carries a gun in Norway are arctic park rangers that occasionally have to shoot a polar bear.

Spree killer Breivik called police ten times during his shooting spree. He made repeated offers to surrender and could not figure out why the police weren’t there yet. He repeatedly called police and then continued shooting more people since the cops hadn’t arrived.

In England, hundreds of columns are being written about the extreme lack of training, supplies, or the authority to do anything to stop the riots. It took four days of mass arson, racially motivated beatings, and mass looting just for the London police to receive permission to fire rubber bullets.

Now the left-wing police authority in London is diverting hundreds of officers to stop law abiding citizens from organizing neighborhood watches!

KC Mayor caught in the middle of shooting.

A mob of black teenagers turned violent at the Kansas City Plaza. One teenage black male opened fire wounding three other teens. The mayor of Kansas City was at the plaza. Two police officers forced him to the ground for his own protection.

Mayor Sly James was in the Plaza to get a first hand look at the out of control mobs.

Related:

Black mob loots store in Maryland.

Slaughter in Detroit. 16 shot, 7 dead in 24 hours.

From Detroit News…

A 14-year-old boy was shot and killed Saturday night after police released details about a 24-hour spate of shootings in the city that left six others dead and nine injured.

Detroit Police say the juvenile was shot around 6 p.m. Saturday in the 4600 block of Coplin while he and an 18-year-old boy were playing with a gun that went off. The bullet struck the 14-year-old, killing him.

Police said the suspect is in custody and the weapon has been recovered.

The shooting follows nine others that occurred between 6 a.m. Friday and 6 a.m. Saturday.

At one scene, five people were shot, police said. At another, three people were shot. The remainder of victims were shot at separate locations.

One other victim was in critical condition, one in stable and the remainder in serious condition at area hospitals.

The city was on pace for 350 murders this year, according to an analysis by The Detroit News. In a city that has lost 25 percent of its population since 2000, that could put the year on pace to reach the highest per-capita rates in a decade.

London’s Tottenham Riots 2011

Blame Twitter

…for London’s Tottenham Riots 2011

Once again London has become a battlefield. On this occasion, the gunning down of an alleged cocaine dealer and gang member during a police operation in a vibrant multicultural area has been the trigger to several days of mayhem.

Tottenham-Riots-burning-c-007

Tottenham-Riots-burning-2

From 300 people massing in front of a police station to demand ‘justice’, we have gone to assaults on police officers, random property damage, and, of course, looting.

The looting is not even being done under the cover of darkness anymore. Having viewed the reports, Andrew Gilligan, from the Daily Telegraph, has observed:

On the television and YouTube pictures . . . most of the rioters and looters didn’t look angry. The ones making their way out of the smashed-up shops in Wood Green High Road with boxes full of other people’s property actually looked quite pleased. Here, at least, the quest wasn’t so much for justice, more for free trainers. . . . You could see the expressions on the Wood Green looters’ faces because by that stage it was daylight.

Looters

Trolleyful_of_Loot

Looted_Electronic_Shop_cropped

As Colin Liddell has already noted, the mainstream media has gone into damage limitation mode. They have been deploying every conceivable tactic to complicate a simple issue and deflect attention from the real problem.

Thus, the disturbances and the thieving are being blamed on poverty, idle youth, excessive urbanisation, overcrowding, the government’s austerity measures, the Summer heat, too many White policemen, unemployment, the city’s Mayor being on holiday, and a ‘tiny unrepresentative minority’ of thugs and criminals.

By far the most original tactic, however, has been the effort to blame the riots on Twitter and the BlackBerry messenger service.

Nowhere do proponents of this fascinating theory explain:

    1. Why when the alleged criminal being gunned down is White, the city does not go up in flames, with White Englishmen taking to the streets to burn people’s cars and burn and loot people’s businesses.
  1. Why burning and looting is not evenly distributed among Twitter and BlackBerry messenger users, as opposed to concentrated on vibrant multicultural areas in London.

The blaming of rioting and looting on Twitter and BlackBerry reminds me of the blaming of the theft of music over the internet on ‘technology’.

Is it not people, and their choices when using technology, what determines its effects?

When a thug smashes a Molotov cocktail on the parked vehicle, or applies his baseball bat to the shop window, or climbs into the off-licence or the electronics or shoe shop in order to grab as much booze, TVs, and trainers as he can hold in his arms or supermarket trolley, it is not because a 29-year-old geek in San Francisco had a bright idea five years ago; it is because the thug is out for a few days of joyous mayhem, knowing he will enjoy safety in numbers and get away with it.

Equally obvious to any thinking citizen is that were there no Afro-Caribbean ‘community’ in London, there would be no racial dimension and therefore no excuse for rioting, burning, looting, and attacking law enforcement officers.

Which takes us to how such a ‘community’ came to be in London in the first place, and why they see their neighbourhoods as loot as opposed to something that belongs to them and in which they all have a stake.

Rather inconvenient observations for proponents of immigration and multiculturalism.

On happier news, Civitas, a U.K. thinktank, has called for the Equality Commission to be abolished, arguing that it ‘contributes very little to meaningful equality’ and offers poor value for money.

A euphemism if I ever saw one.

Fall of the American Empire

The American Empire is falling off a cliff.

Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, look at gold’s standing ovation for the Obama-Boehner debt ceiling theater. In the second half of the show, Max talks to Stefan Molyneux about the Fed audit and the debt ceiling.
KR on FB: http://www.facebook.com/KeiserReport

 

WHY AND HOW AMERICA MUST COLLAPSE

by Kirk Brothers

CLICK HERE to return to Index

INTRODUCTION

     To anyone with a penchant for history, it is obvious that
our once-great nation is dying--and the end will not be peaceful.
The United States, like an aging star, must first collapse, and
then explode, in a final burst of energy that will be awesome to
behold.
     Alternatively, to pursue our astronomical metaphor for one
more sentence, the United States might by that dreadful time have
become so massive from the dead weight of political corruption
that it will end as a black hole, from which nothing can escape.
     This grim prophetic view of our destiny will, of course, be
laughed off by those who habitually refuse to see the truth even  
when it walks up and spits in their faces--but happily, I do not
expect to live long enough to see the end, which is inevitable.
     The signs of our bleak future are to be seen everywhere, and
it is our national tragedy that neither our alleged leaders nor
the majority of the people are intelligent enough to recognize
them.  For what it is worth, this article will point out the
facts, if only for the benefit of future generations who must
pick up the pieces of rubble and try to decide what to do with
our junk.  It is my hope--albeit a forlorn one--that my articles
may survive long enough to serve as documentary evidence of
exactly who and what were to blame.

THE ROOT CAUSES

     Let's begin with Malthus (1766-1834)--the Catholic Church
disapproves of Malthus, which is reason enough to hold him in
high esteem.  And by way of introduction, let's recall for a
moment the innumerable times you've heard some older person
reminisce about "the good old days"--before you were born.
     Well, the good old days were pretty rotten in some ways, but
on balance they were very good, indeed--for one reason.
     There weren't so damn many people overcrowding this planet!
     Malthus wrote in his classic economic work, AN ESSAY ON THE
PRINCIPLE OF POPULATION, that population increases much faster
than the resources necessary to support them--so that as popula-
tion goes up, the quality of life goes down.  Let me give you a
specific illustration from my own life span.
     I grew up in a little town in Massachusetts at a time when
the country's population stood, fairly constant, at around 120
million people (the latest figure available estimates our numbers
now at some 266 million).  My home town numbered about three
thousand, and there were a number of farms quite close to the
center--which was marked by the Unitarian Church and a row of
about a dozen small stores.
     Less than two blocks from our home on the main street stood
a 60 acre dairy farm where we could buy raw milk.  A mile further
down the main street, a shallow river trickled through what we
called a swamp, but would nowadays be termed a wetland (it sounds
better).  We could catch fish there in the summer, and skate on
its ice in the winter.  During summer vacations, school buses
took us to Red Cross swimming lessons in Walden Pond--where
Thoreau's cabin site was still marked--or we could drive to
Revere Beach to swim in Boston Harbor.  For a day of fun, there
were steamships from Boston to Nantasket Beach for swimming or
amusement rides.
     There were only 120 million people in the entire country
then.
     Well, the old town has changed.  The dairy farm was sold to
make room for a large shopping mall.  The wetlands were drained,
and the river reduced to an underground pipeline, to make room
for a second mall.  Walden Pond has long been so polluted with
human sewage that it is closed to swimming--the same is true of
Boston Harbor beaches.
     The town's population is at least 15,000 nowadays, or about
five times what it was in "the good old days".  The point is that
the land area remains the same size, but five times as many
people try to live in the space we knew and loved as youngsters. 
And now here's an example of what Malthus was talking about, in a
simple everyday example.
     Suppose you're having a family dinner and you've baked a pie
for dessert.  If there are six in the family, everybody gets a
good slice.  If a seventh person shows up unexpectedly, it's
possible to do some tricky cutting and offer each diner a seventh
instead of a sixth--a little skimpy, but still adequate.
     But suppose there are two extra people.  In that case Mom
says she isn't hungry or is on a diet or some such alibi, and
cuts seven slices, going without dessert herself.  We all had
Moms who made such small sacrifices.
     Okay, now suppose you have thirty people for dinner--five
times as many as you have food for.  Figure it out for yourself.

POPULATION PROBLEMS IN A NUTSHELL

     There are one billion people too many on this planet.
     The best figures available tend to show that two billion is
the maximum number the Earth can sustain if the quality of life
is to be acceptable.  Yet in South America (Latins are predomi-
nately Catholic and therefore opposed to birth control, abortion,
or common sense like Malthus' observations) the population grows
so rapidly that the vast tropical rain forest is being cut down
at an alarming rate.  Loss of the Amazon rain forest will alter
the whole world's climate and ecosystems in a way that cannot be
projected, much less prevented.  The changes will be catastrophic
--but try telling that to people who have too many children to
feed and house, and are stupid enough to argue that "nobody needs
a jungle".
     In brief, the human race is fornicating itself into extinc-
tion, and nothing can possibly improve significantly until one
person out of every three now alive dies without being replaced
at the world food table.  But just try telling that to the Pope.

WHAT ELSE COULD BE WRONG?

     Very simple.  It is an absolute and unquestionable fact that
fully one half of the world's population is below average in
intelligence.  The figure is the same for each and every country,
without exception.
     Okay, so I'll prove it--and here's the proof.  What is the
definition of the word "average"?
     It's a mathematical or statistical concept which determines
the midpoint in any population--and if you calculate a midpoint,
one half must fall above and one half below the average--obvious.
     Okay, what does that mean in the world of politics?
     It means that elections are decided by the stupid.
     It means that laws are made and enforced by and for the
stupid.
     It means that intelligence counts for nothing, because the
majority of those voting don't understand what the intelligent
are talking about.  And by intelligent, I mean those smart enough
for college work--with IQs of 120 or higher.
     Let me give you an example.  In the first three articles in
this series, I proved that Social Security (and therefore that
virtually every major government program) is blatantly unconsti-
tutional--that our Federal Courts are so corrupted by party
politics that Judges refuse to address that question--and, worst
of all, that we have had no valid Constitution for at least 150
years.
     Suppose you want me to prove it here and now, in a half-
dozen well-chosen sentences of less than ten words each.  I can't
--simply because it took about 30 pages, single spaced, to prove
it there, and stupid people don't want to read 30 pages of
anything except sex novels.  They want the news in headlines with
the important events summarized in 10-second sound bites, so as
to have lots of time for the latest scores and sports action.
     Why?  Because they're stupid.
     Who caters to the stupid?
     Well, our politicians--the mass media--the academic airheads
who dictated the Conventional Unwisdom that is leading our
country to economic collapse--and our government-controlled
schools--to start the list.
     In any rational society, laws would be made exclusively by
the wise, leaders would be only the wisest men and women in the
nation, there would be a mere handful of laws, based upon
universal principles easy for all to understand, applied by
Judges who are both wise and unprejudiced--and only those with
IQs of at least 110 would have the right to vote.  
     If these standards be reasonable, by which one of them does
ours qualify as a rational society?

FALLACIES OF THE STUPID

     The list is virtually endless, but let's look at just a few
of the most important ones, because they impinge on our lives in
the most nefarious ways each and every day.
     It should be common knowledge that most Americans (or other
people worldwide) will choose a pleasant lie over an unpleasant
truth.  By making that choice, they believe they have done the
right thing, and they don't want any intelligent person to point
out their mistakes.
     They won't trouble their brains to read this article, but
I'll point out some of them, anyway.  I list them in no particu-
lar order of importance--I believe they're all valid observa-
tions.

NOBODY WANTS EQUALITY

     We were all taught to respect the idea that we are all
equal, at least under law.  But nobody would be satisfied with
that idea, even if it were true.
     Why?
     Because equality means you're exactly the same as your worst
enemy.  He has exactly the same rights you have, and you have no
more political power than he does.
     Nobody wants to be equal to his worst enemy.  And so Bible-
belt fanatics persist in trying to shove Christianity into public
schools by hook or by crook--heterosexual fanatics persist in
passing laws to punish homosexuals--gun control fanatics persist
in destroying the priceless right of the Second Amendment--
ignoramuses who view "drugs" as evil persist in passing more and
more stupid laws to prevent even moderate use of substances which
clearly have great medicinal value--and so on.
     Fanatics want to be "more equal" than the people they hate,
for one reason or another.  But a Libertarian (of which I am
proud to be one) believes that government must adopt the princi-
ple of laissez faire--letting people DO WHAT THEY WANT, as long
as they do no injury to OTHERS (what injury they might do to
themselves is their own fault, and society is NOT to blame!).
     Bad habits might be deplored, but to outlaw them is to put
Mrs. Grundy in the driver's seat, where she is absolutely out of
place.  Mrs. Grundy wants to PROHIBIT things which many people
like, simply because she feels superior for not liking the same
things.  She is stupid, and a bigot to boot.

NOBODY IS SATISFIED, EVER

     I hold it to be self-evident that nobody is happy with what
he already has (except for those rare individuals who have seen
the fallacy in pursuing what erroneously passes for wealth).
     All too often a person says that if he could only make so
much money he'd be satisfied.  He goes on strike and gets the
money he demanded.  And then it's not enough.  He strikes again
to get more.
     Or a young man says that if he could get a new Ford he'd be
happy.  He gets a new Ford.  And then he wants a Mercury instead.
Or a newlywed couple say they'll be happy in a nice apartment. 
But don't worry--in a year they'll want a house.  Perhaps because
all their friends have houses, and they have to keep up with
them.
     The love of money might not be the root of all evil, but
it's at least the seed.  The greed shown by many Americans
indulging themselves in conspicuous overconsumption has unfortu-
nately caused the peoples of underdeveloped nations to want the
same things--increasing demand for more and more consumer goods
at prices which are excessive to begin with, and are inflated
even more by the increased demand.
     In "the good old days", a loaf of bread cost about ten cents
if a supermarket brand, or fifteen cents if a "name" brand.  Now
a loaf of bread costs more than a dollar at a bakery thrift shop. 
Twenty cents used to buy a quart of milk, or a can of soup, or a
gallon of gas.  A new family car, of sturdy steel and easy to fix
oneself, used to cost well under a thousand dollars.
     In what way are today's prices an indication of improvement
in our economic well-being, according to the Conventional
Mistakes of our lunatic economists?  Only that people have more
dollars to spend.  But the dollar is worth less, so nobody bene-
fits, except those who live on over-extended credit--of which our
government is the prime example.  And the more world population
increases, the worse everything gets.
     Malthus understated his case.

THE FALLACIES OF ECONOMICS

     Most Americans appear to be suckers for anyone with a degree
in anything.  A prime example of this is their gullibility for
anything labeled "economic" in any terminology.  The government
issues monthly fiction called things like "cost of living index"
or "consumer price index", etc., but they all boil down to hot
air and wishful thinking.  I submit as fact, which few will
accept, that the so-called science of economics is 90% garbage
which should be tossed in the garbage can.  Here's why.
     There are basically two types of science: descriptive and
experimental.  Some sciences are both.  A botanist like Luther
Burbank, for example, first learns to classify and identify
plants (descriptive), and then learns by experiment to develop
new and/or improved varieties by selective reproduction
techniques.
     But some sciences do not lend themselves to experimentation. 
Geology is one.  A geologist describes earthquakes but does not
try to control or cause one--he's lucky to be able to predict
aftershocks from a major tremor.  Similarly, a meteorologist
describes hurricanes and tornadoes but cannot control them--
prediction is the best he can hope for.
     Economics is also a descriptive science--which applies
useful terms to human behavior in acts of getting and spending
money--and may lead to meaningful predictions.  But it is of
value only if it is studied in a context of conservative common
sense (which is not common), or a practical application like
business administration.
     Unfortunately for all of us, economists for more than 60
years have fooled Americans into believing that theirs is an
experimental science, and that the economy can be controlled.
That delusion has been so deeply ingrained in Americans' mind-set
for 60 years that eradicating the error is a virtually impossible
task.  Nevertheless I'll give it a try.

THE ECONOMY CANNOT BE CONTROLLED

     What is "the economy"?  It's the sum total of each and every
consensual contract between each and every person, in the course
of doing business of any kind--from buying a hamburger at
McDonald's to selling a thousand shares of blue chip stocks on
Wall Street.  There are literally millions of such transactions
each and every day, and it is absolutely impossible to even list
them, much less make decisions about their effect on other
transactions.  The fact is that the staggering number of economic
transactions in a single day would surpass the capacity of the
largest computer to extract and manipulate data.
     So economists do what they think is almost as good.  They
use statistics and propaganda.
     We used to joke that there are three grades of lies: little
white lies, big black lies, and statistics--the joke being that
statistics can be used to prove anything the statistician wants
to prove.  He simply "adjusts" his "data" and sets up the numbers
to give him his desired results.
     Does this sound familiar?  The government issues some
damfool economic summary, predicting that next quarter will be
much better or worse than this one.  The prediction turns out to
be wrong.  So the government "revises" its index to "reflect"
more "accurately".  And millions of Americans (the stupid ones)
smile in satisfaction at the wisdom of our leaders.
     There would be another problem if economics were a truly
experimental science: the only way one could control the economy
would be to regulate EVERYTHING (and don't think they're not
trying it already)!  That would mean tinkering in everybody's
business, laying down thousands of laws and rules governing how
one runs his company--and punishing people who either don't know
all the rules, or have the attitude that our stinking, lousy,
meddling government should get the hell off our backs and LEAVE
US ALONE!
     Economists are the greatest (worst) meddlers in the world,
and the tragedy is they meddle in order to "prove" a theory that
by the rules of logic cannot be proved.  Economists appear to
believe that a free market is not to be trusted.  Libertarians
hold that ONLY a free market is to be trusted--not self-serving,
empire-building bureaucrats on a power trip.  Laissez faire
again.

WHAT ECONOMISTS NEVER TELL YOU

     Every true science has laws which can be demonstrated time
and again by students anywhere at any time.  For example, in
physics a student performs simple experiments (in the beginning)
to prove the laws of magnetism or gravity.  Economics has no
"hands on" test for anything it preaches, but presumes its laws
to be carved in stone by the finger of God.  And many courses in
economics omit facts which should be common knowledge to anyone
interested in his personal economic security.  Here's one such
example.
     Let's assume you had a million dollars to spend last year,
so you invested it in an original Picasso oil.  Art experts
appraised the work as worth more than two million--but you got a
bargain.
     Your original Picasso is hanging on your dining-room wall so
you can admire it, and you are so happy with it you aren't at all
interested in selling it.  It's given you a million dollars'
worth of pleasure so far, perhaps.
     Question: how much is your Picasso worth now?
     Answer: not a dime.
     Why?  Because you don't want to sell it.
     The value of anything is determined only when it is traded,
and its value is exactly what the seller will take and the buyer
will pay.  As a matter of fact, art values are totally fictitious
--because collectors are notorious for putting an art work such
as a Picasso on the auction block every few years, bidding the
price up above others at the sale, and buying it back.  There's a
commission on the sale price, but that's all it costs them.  In
return, it is now a matter of record that the painting increased
in value by so many thousands of dollars between auctions.  That
proves it's a good investment, right?
     Well, is it?  Here's a well-known anecdote reputed to be a
true-life story.  After the Communist revolution in Russia, many
of the old wealthy families (who could not leave the Soviet Union
and take their wealth with them) were down on their uppers, and
in a bad way for basic things like food.
     So one day a man of prior wealth decided to sacrifice part
of it, by bartering his beautiful Faberge egg--an artifact for
which the Age of the Tsars was noted.  It was hand-painted,
decorated with precious gems, and had cost a fortune in the old
days.  The man covered his priceless egg in a protective cloth
and carefully took it by horse and buggy to a farm on the
outskirts of Moscow where he hoped to exchange it for food.
     When he told the farmer what he wanted and what he offered,
the farmer sneered and offered a sack of potatoes.  The former
nobleman was shocked at the offer--until the farmer beckoned his
customer to the door of an adjoining room.
     The table, the shelves, and the floor of the next room were
littered with a vast collection of Faberge china--all beautiful,
and all useless to the farmer, who could not sell them any more
than the nobleman could.  The nobleman took the sack of potatoes.
     And you think you have security because you've invested in
comic books--having paid, perhaps, a hundred dollars for a copy
of the first Batman story in "new" condition?  Well, the person
who paid ten cents for it, and kept it carefully for future
collectors, made a killing on his investment--but as a general
rule most art collectors are loaded with expensive, yet worth-
less, items they can never recoup their investment on.
     One man I met has a collection of miniature elephants in
many sizes, materials, and poses.  He honestly believes them to
be worth what he paid for them, plus a profit.  But if a Faberge
egg could be worth a sack of potatoes, how much could an elephant
statue demand?  Think about it.
     There is an excellent paperback book called "Economics in
One Lesson" by Henry Hazlitt, a journalist like myself, whose
style and illustrative examples are a pleasure to read.  I will
not steal his thunder, but I should like to give him credit for
two points which I must re-argue in my own discussion.
     To paraphrase Hazlitt, economists are prone to "prove" their
theories by showing you only one side of a two-faced coin--the
side favorable to their theory, and the only one they want you to
think about.  In that way they are like magicians who show the
audience an impressive box of sturdy construction, which they
open to show full of money--but fail to show that the box has no
bottom, and the money is on a spring inside a special table the
box is set upon.
     In arguments over various hare-brained proposals, economists
like to show you the "heads" of a coin--namely, WHO GETS WHAT--
and argue, using every propaganda trick in the book, to show how
"good" their proposal is.  But they never show you the "tails"
side, which is WHO LOSES.
     The true science of mathematics is based upon the law that
you cannot get something for nothing--but the pseudo-science
economics pretends you can.  During the hard times of the 1930's,
truth-telling mathematics offered only unpleasant reality, but
New Deal economics promised pie in the sky--something for
nothing--a pleasant lie.  So stupid people chose the pleasant
lie, and voted for Franklin Delano Rooselvelt four times.  And
here we are now, seeing what was on the other side of the New
Deal coin.
     Economists occasionally "prove" their wisdom by the propa-
ganda fallacy of post hoc, ergo propter hoc (meaning "after that,
therefore because of that").  For example, say that three months
ago the "Fed" lowered interest rates, and the economy improved.
"Hooray!" they say, "lowering the interest rates caused the
improvement".
     First, and in passing, let's stop to think if we really give
a damn about the Fed's raising or lowering of the interest rate. 
What the hell has it ever meant to you?  Only what you heard
somebody say on the news, I'll bet.  When the news tells you
everything is great, do you really believe it?  If so, what's
your IQ?
     But let's get back to the fallacy of "after that, therefore
because of that".  The fallacy is to leave out all other events
and facts that might indicate the true cause.  An example more
easily seen as a fallacy is that of a superstitious farmer who
plants corn after the new moon and before the full moon.  If he
gets a good crop, he says it's because he planted his seed after
the new moon and before the full moon (ignoring weather, fertili-
zing, etc.).  
     The economic fallacy of concern to us is the failure of our
government to admit the obvious fact that if something is "free"
to some people, it's being paid for by others.  Or, as a simple
variation, it will be paid for in the future by the next genera-
tions.  Social Security, as shown in the first article in this
series, was "sold" by Franklin Delano Roosevelt by golden rheto-
ric dwelling on its short-term "benefits".  Roosevelt himself
ignored the real (long run) cost of those "benefits", and the
final price will be the total economic collapse of the United
States in a few decades or less.

OTHER OMISSIONS IN ECONOMICS

     Economics mentions barter more or less in passing, and
quickly dismisses it as irrelevant--a mere holdover from primi-
tive times in economic history.  The fact is that barter is still
the basis for every transaction, but most people don't bother to
perform the rituals of asking price, offered price, and negotia-
tion--in fact, they've never tried "dickering" over the price, or
think it's not dignified.  Barter demands aggressiveness which we
regard as antisocial, but is absolutely necessary if and when
money is worthless.
     When is that?  Well, in Australia today there are some
tribes in the Outback who still don't use money.  They exchange
goods or services for goods or services, by mutual agreement. 
People from "civilization" who go into the Outback and may need
to obtain food while there are well advised to have trading
goods, like the Dutch who bought Manhattan Island for 24 dollars'
worth of jewelry.

BUTTER AND GUNS

     One of the classic illustrations used in economics is the
real (practical) problem of striking a bargain between parties in
a barter system--the usual example being that of exchanging
butter for guns.  In a barter economy, a gunsmith who needs
butter for his kitchen, and a dairy farmer who needs a shotgun to
shoot crows, must somehow meet face to face to agree on how much
butter is a fair trade for one gun.  Obviously, if a gunsmith
doesn't need butter or a farmer doesn't need a gun, they can't do
business.
     In the dim past, when communities were isolated and trading
was done by traveling merchants, the problems of doing business
were greatly eased by the mercantile invention of money.  It was
the merchant, acting as a go-between, who offered the gunsmith or
the farmer so much symbolic paper or coinage for each man's
goods, and sold each customer what he needed in a monetary
exchange.  The barter was limited to how much money was agreeable
in each separate transaction, not how many pounds of butter for a
gun.
     Money is truly one of the great human inventions, but it was
not the work of a political bureaucracy!  It was only later that
politicians saw the enormous potential in controlling the money
used, and governmental control of money has been universal ever
since.
     That control is the power, and the weakness, of economics--
for if a government collapses, the money in circulation becomes
trash.  It happened in the South after the Civil War, with the
demise of the Confederacy and therefore Confederate money.  It
happened in Germany after World War I, when a wheelbarrow-full of
paper money might be needed for a loaf of bread.
     As part of economists' meddling in matters they do not
understand--like the Sorcerer's Apprentice who conjured a broom
to carry water--they seek to control both the supply of money and
the value of money.  Basically, they want inflation.  Inflation
is good for debtors (which is most of the people), and bad for
creditors (who are held to deserve a little loss, by the morality
of Robin Hood).  Deflation, which nobody really wants to see,
would be a bonanza for creditors and the final straw for debtors
--they would have to pay back more real value than what they
borrowed, rather than less.
     In any rational society, money would be absolutely rock hard
and absolutely beyond the power of any political scheme to change
it a hair.  If one were to borrow ten dollars now, he would have
to pay back the full value of ten dollars, plus agreed interest
for the time borrowed.  If you think that's unfair because you
borrow money, how would you feel if you were the lender?
     There is one, and only one, way I can see that could create
such a rock-hard, non-manipulable monetary system--and it has
been suggested by a number of theoreticians with common sense,
who were therefore called crackpots.  That is, to establish a
money system in which the minimum unit of coinage (one cent, for
example) would be deemed equal to exactly one minute of time
spent at minimal labor.
     Obviously, there can never be one second more or one second
less than sixty minutes in an hour.  Therefore in this system,
the minimum wage would be sixty cents per hour, and all higher
units of money and all contracts would be negotiated in terms of
money at that rate of exchange.  All market prices would be nego-
tiated using this system of hard money as its basis, so that a
person earning the minimum wage could afford a modest lifestyle
(my first job paid me fifteen cents an hour).
     Of course, some people would want to borrow an hour's worth
of work time, and pay it back with fifteen minutes--that's
inflation.  But the short answer to all demands of that nature
must be NO.

WALL STREET

     Stock markets are the biggest gambling casinos in the world.
That's not their public-relations image, but it's the truth. 
Wall Streeters like to pretend they're doing a profound and
patriotic service in helping little Americans buy a piece of the
nation in stocks and bonds.  I submit that such claims are an
earthenware container of organic fertilizer.
     Wall Street is a complex mechanism for manipulating wealth--
in the form of symbolic paper--and its attraction for high
financiers is the lure of a quick killing by buying low and
selling high.  If financiers guess wrong they may jump out
windows--or take a flight out of jurisdiction with embezzled
funds to evade criminal prosecution.  The little Americans who
lose their shirts when the market crashes never know what hit
them.  It happened in 1929, and is due to happen again--despite
the best efforts of economic "experts" to keep it from happening
by more and more controls.
     The fact is that Wall Street is a bubble perilously close to
bursting.  Our economists can't control Wall Street, so how the
hell can they pretend to control anything else?  I'll tell you
how--by bluff and bluster.
     We all know that Social Security will be bankrupt in about
thirty years, and Medicare in about ten, and that our economists
created the mess by meddling in the free market system instead of
letting banking and insurance institutions offer retirement
pensions by consensual contracts.  Now our "experts" admit that
Social Security is in trouble, and their God-given superiority
has advised them exactly how to prop it up.
     Invest in Wall Street--the world's biggest gambling casino!
     And stupid Americans continue to trust them!  How long can
their brains hibernate before they wake up and smell the coffee?

SUMMARIZING FOR THIS TIME

     The Medicare Program will go bankrupt in perhaps ten years,
and Social Security will go down the tubes perhaps twenty years
later--if we're lucky.  These blatant swindles are the legacy of
Franklin Delano Roosevelt, and for proof of this statement please
read my previous articles in this series.
     The collapse of our country will be the result of numerous 
interlocking factors, which I have here tried to separate for
individual consideration by thoughtful readers.  The factors are:
     1) The overpopulation of the planet, by about 50% of what it
     should be.
     2) The domination of politics by a two-thirds majority of
     people below IQ 120, who are the least qualified to make
     intelligent political decisions.
     3) The facts (few) and fallacies (many) in the so-called
     science of economics which have contributed to, and continue
     to maintain a moribund national economy which gets worse as
     time passes.
     4) A bit about the psychology of the American people, and
     the propaganda tricks which are used to deceive them.

HOW AMERICA WILL COLLAPSE

     There are two options--neither one desirable--but I cannot
say with certainty which will prevail because I broke my crystal
ball last week, and my Tarot cards are out for repair.
     One possibility is that political revolution will come
first, if apathetic Americans can be galvanized to take decisive
action to force reconstruction of our corrupt bureaucracy at all
levels.  A proposal for the first step is a Constitutional
amendment to bring the American people back into the political
process in a meaningful way.  See THE TIME BOMB IN OUR CONSTITU-
TION for details on our plan to restore freedom and civil rights
in a country which is shown to be a de facto police state, though
not recognized by the mentally retarded majority.
     The second possibility is more likely, in my opinion--
namely, that Americans are too cowardly to take action until
economic collapse becomes a reality.  That collapse will come
with the end of Social Security and the sudden termination of all
welfare programs which bleed all Americans to support the present
corrupt regime.
     With the collapse of government programs and, therefore, the
entire government, the so-called "Domino Effect" will cause a
remorseless chain reaction worldwide.  First, American money will
instantly become as worthless as Faberge eggs, and Wall Street
must crash almost immediately.  With the collapse of Wall Street,
all foreign exchanges must follow as the panic spreads, and our
so-called leaders--a pack of congenital idiots--look, for the
first time, for lifeboats on the S.S. Titanic.  There aren't any,
because the Titanic is unsinkable, right?
     So, must we all sing hymns as the ragtime band plays
"Nearer, My God, to Thee"?

BUT WAIT!  IS THAT A SHIP ON THE HORIZON?!  CAN WE BE SAVED?!

     Maybe.
     It's the U.S. Congress, and if the crew is intelligent
enough to see what needs to be done--and has the courage and
integrity to do it--they might yet be able to keep us afloat and
tow us to shore safely.
     The problem is that the crew of the U.S. Congress has been
on a binge for sixty years, getting drunk with power--that's
always been our problem.  Will there be any heroes on board the
Congress who'll sober up in a hurry and do what has to be done?
     I'll have the script for our eleventh-hour rescue in my next
article.
     But will anybody in Washington read it?

                                      Kirk Brothers

How America will collapse (by 2025)

Four scenarios that could spell the end of the United States as we know it — in the very near future

By Alfred McCoy

How America will collapse (by 2025)



This piece originally appeared on TomDispatch.

A soft landing for America 40 years from now? Don’t bet on it. The demise of the United States as the global superpower could come far more quickly than anyone imagines. If Washington is dreaming of 2040 or 2050 as the end of the American Century, a more realistic assessment of domestic and global trends suggests that in 2025, just 15 years from now, it could all be over except for the shouting.

Despite the aura of omnipotence most empires project, a look at their history should remind us that they are fragile organisms. So delicate is their ecology of power that, when things start to go truly bad, empires regularly unravel with unholy speed: just a year for Portugal, two years for the Soviet Union, eight years for France, 11 years for the Ottomans, 17 years for Great Britain, and, in all likelihood, 22 years for the United States, counting from the crucial year 2003.

Future historians are likely to identify the Bush administration’s rash invasion of Iraq in that year as the start of America’s downfall. However, instead of the bloodshed that marked the end of so many past empires, with cities burning and civilians slaughtered, this twenty-first century imperial collapse could come relatively quietly through the invisible tendrils of economic collapse or cyberwarfare.

But have no doubt: when Washington’s global dominion finally ends, there will be painful daily reminders of what such a loss of power means for Americans in every walk of life. As a half-dozen European nations have discovered, imperial decline tends to have a remarkably demoralizing impact on a society, regularly bringing at least a generation of economic privation. As the economy cools, political temperatures rise, often sparking serious domestic unrest.

Available economic, educational, and military data indicate that, when it comes to U.S. global power, negative trends will aggregate rapidly by 2020 and are likely to reach a critical mass no later than 2030. The American Century, proclaimed so triumphantly at the start of World War II, will be tattered and fading by 2025, its eighth decade, and could be history by 2030.

Significantly, in 2008, the U.S. National Intelligence Council admitted for the first time that America’s global power was indeed on a declining trajectory. In one of its periodic futuristic reports, Global Trends 2025, the Council cited “the transfer of global wealth and economic power now under way, roughly from West to East” and “without precedent in modern history,” as the primary factor in the decline of the “United States’ relative strength — even in the military realm.” Like many in Washington, however, the Council’s analysts anticipated a very long, very soft landing for American global preeminence, and harbored the hope that somehow the U.S. would long “retain unique military capabilities… to project military power globally” for decades to come.

No such luck. Under current projections, the United States will find itself in second place behind China (already the world’s second largest economy) in economic output around 2026, and behind India by 2050. Similarly, Chinese innovation is on a trajectory toward world leadership in applied science and military technology sometime between 2020 and 2030, just as America’s current supply of brilliant scientists and engineers retires, without adequate replacement by an ill-educated younger generation.

By 2020, according to current plans, the Pentagon will throw a military Hail Mary pass for a dying empire. It will launch a lethal triple canopy of advanced aerospace robotics that represents Washington’s last best hope of retaining global power despite its waning economic influence. By that year, however, China’s global network of communications satellites, backed by the world’s most powerful supercomputers, will also be fully operational, providing Beijing with an independent platform for the weaponization of space and a powerful communications system for missile- or cyber-strikes into every quadrant of the globe.

Wrapped in imperial hubris, like Whitehall or Quai d’Orsay before it, the White House still seems to imagine that American decline will be gradual, gentle, and partial. In his State of the Union address last January, President Obama offered the reassurance that “I do not accept second place for the United States of America.” A few days later, Vice President Biden ridiculed the very idea that “we are destined to fulfill [historian Paul] Kennedy’s prophecy that we are going to be a great nation that has failed because we lost control of our economy and overextended.” Similarly, writing in the November issue of the establishment journal Foreign Affairs, neo-liberal foreign policy guru Joseph Nye waved away talk of China’s economic and military rise, dismissing “misleading metaphors of organic decline” and denying that any deterioration in U.S. global power was underway.

Ordinary Americans, watching their jobs head overseas, have a more realistic view than their cosseted leaders. An opinion poll in August 2010 found that 65 percent of Americans believed the country was now “in a state of decline.”  Already, Australia and Turkey, traditional U.S. military allies, are using their American-manufactured weapons for joint air and naval maneuvers with China. Already, America’s closest economic partners are backing away from Washington’s opposition to China’s rigged currency rates. As the president flew back from his Asian tour last month, a gloomy New York Times headline  summed the moment up this way: “Obama’s Economic View Is Rejected on World Stage, China, Britain and Germany Challenge U.S., Trade Talks With Seoul Fail, Too.”

Viewed historically, the question is not whether the United States will lose its unchallenged global power, but just how precipitous and wrenching the decline will be. In place of Washington’s wishful thinking, let’s use the National Intelligence Council’s own futuristic methodology to suggest four realistic scenarios for how, whether with a bang or a whimper, U.S. global power could reach its end in the 2020s (along with four accompanying assessments of just where we are today). The future scenarios include: economic decline, oil shock, military misadventure, and World War III. While these are hardly the only possibilities when it comes to American decline or even collapse, they offer a window into an onrushing future.

Economic Decline: Present Situation

Today, three main threats exist to America’s dominant position in the global economy: loss of economic clout thanks to a shrinking share of world trade, the decline of American technological innovation, and the end of the dollar’s privileged status as the global reserve currency.

By 2008, the United States had already fallen to number three in global merchandise exports, with just 11 percent of them compared to 12 percent for China and 16 percent for the European Union. There is no reason to believe that this trend will reverse itself.

Similarly, American leadership in technological innovation is on the wane. In 2008, the U.S. was still number two behind Japan in worldwide patent applications with 232,000, but China was closing fast at 195,000, thanks to a blistering 400 percent increase since 2000. A harbinger of further decline: in 2009 the U.S. hit rock bottom in ranking among the 40 nations surveyed by the Information Technology & Innovation Foundation when it came to “change” in “global innovation-based competitiveness” during the previous decade. Adding substance to these statistics, in October China’s Defense Ministry unveiled the world’s fastest supercomputer, the Tianhe-1A, so powerful, said one U.S. expert, that it “blows away the existing No. 1 machine” in America.

Add to this clear evidence that the U.S. education system, that source of future scientists and innovators, has been falling behind its competitors. After leading the world for decades in 25- to 34-year-olds with university degrees, the country sank to 12th place in 2010. The World Economic Forum ranked the United States at a mediocre 52nd among 139 nations in the quality of its university math and science instruction in 2010. Nearly half of all graduate students in the sciences in the U.S. are now foreigners, most of whom will be heading home, not staying here as once would have happened. By 2025, in other words, the United States is likely to face a critical shortage of talented scientists.

Such negative trends are encouraging increasingly sharp criticism of the dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency. “Other countries are no longer willing to buy into the idea that the U.S. knows best on economic policy,” observed Kenneth S. Rogoff, a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund. In mid-2009, with the world’s central banks holding an astronomical $4 trillion in U.S. Treasury notes, Russian president Dimitri Medvedev insisted that it was time to end “the artificially maintained unipolar system” based on “one formerly strong reserve currency.”

Simultaneously, China’s central bank governor suggested that the future might lie with a global reserve currency “disconnected from individual nations” (that is, the U.S. dollar). Take these as signposts of a world to come, and of a possible attempt, as economist Michael Hudson has argued, “to hasten the bankruptcy of the U.S. financial-military world order.”

Economic Decline: Scenario 2020

After years of swelling deficits fed by incessant warfare in distant lands, in 2020, as long expected, the U.S. dollar finally loses its special status as the world’s reserve currency. Suddenly, the cost of imports soars. Unable to pay for swelling deficits by selling now-devalued Treasury notes abroad, Washington is finally forced to slash its bloated military budget. Under pressure at home and abroad, Washington slowly pulls U.S. forces back from hundreds of overseas bases to a continental perimeter. By now, however, it is far too late.

Faced with a fading superpower incapable of paying the bills, China, India, Iran, Russia, and other powers, great and regional, provocatively challenge U.S. dominion over the oceans, space, and cyberspace. Meanwhile, amid soaring prices, ever-rising unemployment, and a continuing decline in real wages, domestic divisions widen into violent clashes and divisive debates, often over remarkably irrelevant issues. Riding a political tide of disillusionment and despair, a far-right patriot captures the presidency with thundering rhetoric, demanding respect for American authority and threatening military retaliation or economic reprisal. The world pays next to no attention as the American Century ends in silence.

Oil Shock: Present Situation

One casualty of America’s waning economic power has been its lock on global oil supplies. Speeding by America’s gas-guzzling economy in the passing lane, China became the world’s number one energy consumer this summer, a position the U.S. had held for over a century. Energy specialist Michael Klare has argued that this change means China will “set the pace in shaping our global future.”

By 2025, Iran and Russia will control almost half of the world’s natural gas supply, which will potentially give them enormous leverage over energy-starved Europe. Add petroleum reserves to the mix and, as the National Intelligence Council has warned, in just 15 years two countries, Russia and Iran, could “emerge as energy kingpins.”

Despite remarkable ingenuity, the major oil powers are now draining the big basins of petroleum reserves that are amenable to easy, cheap extraction. The real lesson of the Deepwater Horizon oil disaster in the Gulf of Mexico was not BP’s sloppy safety standards, but the simple fact everyone saw on “spillcam”: one of the corporate energy giants had little choice but to search for what Klare calls “tough oil” miles beneath the surface of the ocean to keep its profits up.

Compounding the problem, the Chinese and Indians have suddenly become far heavier energy consumers. Even if fossil fuel supplies were to remain constant (which they won’t), demand, and so costs, are almost certain to rise — and sharply at that. Other developed nations are meeting this threat aggressively by plunging into experimental programs to develop alternative energy sources. The United States has taken a different path, doing far too little to develop alternative sources while, in the last three decades, doubling its dependence on foreign oil imports. Between 1973 and 2007, oil imports have risen from 36 percent of energy consumed in the U.S. to 66 percent.

Oil Shock: Scenario 2025

The United States remains so dependent upon foreign oil that a few adverse developments in the global energy market in 2025 spark an oil shock. By comparison, it makes the 1973 oil shock (when prices quadrupled in just months) look like the proverbial molehill. Angered at the dollar’s plummeting value, OPEC oil ministers, meeting in Riyadh, demand future energy payments in a “basket” of Yen, Yuan, and Euros. That only hikes the cost of U.S. oil imports further. At the same moment, while signing a new series of long-term delivery contracts with China, the Saudis stabilize their own foreign exchange reserves by switching to the Yuan. Meanwhile, China pours countless billions into building a massive trans-Asia pipeline and funding Iran’s exploitation of the world largest percent natural gas field at South Pars in the Persian Gulf.

Concerned that the U.S. Navy might no longer be able to protect the oil tankers traveling from the Persian Gulf to fuel East Asia, a coalition of Tehran, Riyadh, and Abu Dhabi form an unexpected new Gulf alliance and affirm that China’s new fleet of swift aircraft carriers will henceforth patrol the Persian Gulf from a base on the Gulf of Oman. Under heavy economic pressure, London agrees to cancel the U.S. lease on its Indian Ocean island base of Diego Garcia, while Canberra, pressured by the Chinese, informs Washington that the Seventh Fleet is no longer welcome to use Fremantle as a homeport, effectively evicting the U.S. Navy from the Indian Ocean.

With just a few strokes of the pen and some terse announcements, the “Carter Doctrine,” by which U.S. military power was to eternally protect the Persian Gulf, is laid to rest in 2025. All the elements that long assured the United States limitless supplies of low-cost oil from that region — logistics, exchange rates, and naval power — evaporate. At this point, the U.S. can still cover only an insignificant 12 percent of its energy needs from its nascent alternative energy industry, and remains dependent on imported oil for half of its energy consumption.

The oil shock that follows hits the country like a hurricane, sending prices to startling heights, making travel a staggeringly expensive proposition, putting real wages (which had long been declining) into freefall, and rendering non-competitive whatever American exports remained. With thermostats dropping, gas prices climbing through the roof, and dollars flowing overseas in return for costly oil, the American economy is paralyzed. With long-fraying alliances at an end and fiscal pressures mounting, U.S. military forces finally begin a staged withdrawal from their overseas bases.

Within a few years, the U.S. is functionally bankrupt and the clock is ticking toward midnight on the American Century.

Military Misadventure: Present Situation

Counterintuitively, as their power wanes, empires often plunge into ill-advised military misadventures. This phenomenon is known among historians of empire as “micro-militarism” and seems to involve psychologically compensatory efforts to salve the sting of retreat or defeat by occupying new territories, however briefly and catastrophically. These operations, irrational even from an imperial point of view, often yield hemorrhaging expenditures or humiliating defeats that only accelerate the loss of power.

Embattled empires through the ages suffer an arrogance that drives them to plunge ever deeper into military misadventures until defeat becomes debacle. In 413 BCE, a weakened Athens sent 200 ships to be slaughtered in Sicily. In 1921, a dying imperial Spain dispatched 20,000 soldiers to be massacred by Berber guerrillas in Morocco. In 1956, a fading British Empire destroyed its prestige by attacking Suez. And in 2001 and 2003, the U.S. occupied Afghanistan and invaded Iraq. With the hubris that marks empires over the millennia, Washington has increased its troops in Afghanistan to 100,000, expanded the war into Pakistan, and extended its commitment to 2014 and beyond, courting disasters large and small in this guerilla-infested, nuclear-armed graveyard of empires.

Military Misadventure: Scenario 2014

So irrational, so unpredictable is “micro-militarism” that seemingly fanciful scenarios are soon outdone by actual events. With the U.S. military stretched thin from Somalia to the Philippines and tensions rising in Israel, Iran, and Korea, possible combinations for a disastrous military crisis abroad are multifold.

It’s mid-summer 2014 and a drawn-down U.S. garrison in embattled Kandahar in southern Afghanistan is suddenly, unexpectedly overrun by Taliban guerrillas, while U.S. aircraft are grounded by a blinding sandstorm. Heavy loses are taken and in retaliation, an embarrassed American war commander looses B-1 bombers and F-16 fighters to demolish whole neighborhoods of the city that are believed to be under Taliban control, while AC-130U “Spooky” gunships rake the rubble with devastating cannon fire.

Soon, mullahs are preaching jihad from mosques throughout the region, and Afghan Army units, long trained by American forces to turn the tide of the war, begin to desert en masse. Taliban fighters then launch a series of remarkably sophisticated strikes aimed at U.S. garrisons across the country, sending American casualties soaring. In scenes reminiscent of Saigon in 1975, U.S. helicopters rescue American soldiers and civilians from rooftops in Kabul and Kandahar.

Meanwhile, angry at the endless, decades-long stalemate over Palestine, OPEC’s leaders impose a new oil embargo on the U.S. to protest its backing of Israel as well as the killing of untold numbers of Muslim civilians in its ongoing wars across the Greater Middle East. With gas prices soaring and refineries running dry, Washington makes its move, sending in Special Operations forces to seize oil ports in the Persian Gulf. This, in turn, sparks a rash of suicide attacks and the sabotage of pipelines and oil wells. As black clouds billow skyward and diplomats rise at the U.N. to bitterly denounce American actions, commentators worldwide reach back into history to brand this “America’s Suez,” a telling reference to the 1956 debacle that marked the end of the British Empire.

World War III: Present Situation

In the summer of 2010, military tensions between the U.S. and China began to rise in the western Pacific, once considered an American “lake.” Even a year earlier no one would have predicted such a development. As Washington played upon its alliance with London to appropriate much of Britain’s global power after World War II, so China is now using the profits from its export trade with the U.S. to fund what is likely to become a military challenge to American dominion over the waterways of Asia and the Pacific.

With its growing resources, Beijing is claiming a vast maritime arc from Korea to Indonesia long dominated by the U.S. Navy. In August, after Washington expressed a “national interest” in the South China Sea and conducted naval exercises there to reinforce that claim, Beijing’s official Global Times responded angrily, saying, “The U.S.-China wrestling match over the South China Sea issue has raised the stakes in deciding who the real future ruler of the planet will be.”

Amid growing tensions, the Pentagon reported that Beijing now holds “the capability to attack… [U.S.] aircraft carriers in the western Pacific Ocean” and target “nuclear forces throughout… the continental United States.” By developing “offensive nuclear, space, and cyber warfare capabilities,” China seems determined to vie for dominance of what the Pentagon calls “the information spectrum in all dimensions of the modern battlespace.” With ongoing development of the powerful Long March V booster rocket, as well as the launch of two satellites in January 2010 and another in July, for a total of five, Beijing signaled that the country was making rapid strides toward an “independent” network of 35 satellites for global positioning, communications, and reconnaissance capabilities by 2020.

To check China and extend its military position globally, Washington is intent on building a new digital network of air and space robotics, advanced cyberwarfare capabilities, and electronic surveillance. Military planners expect this integrated system to envelop the Earth in a cyber-grid capable of blinding entire armies on the battlefield or taking out a single terrorist in field or favela. By 2020, if all goes according to plan, the Pentagon will launch a three-tiered shield of space drones — reaching from stratosphere to exosphere, armed with agile missiles, linked by a resilient modular satellite system, and operated through total telescopic surveillance.

Last April, the Pentagon made history. It extended drone operations into the exosphere by quietly launching the X-37B unmanned space shuttle into a low orbit 255 miles above the planet.  The X-37B is the first in a new generation of unmanned vehicles that will mark the full weaponization of space, creating an arena for future warfare unlike anything that has gone before.

World War III: Scenario 2025

The technology of space and cyberwarfare is so new and untested that even the most outlandish scenarios may soon be superseded by a reality still hard to conceive. If we simply employ the sort of scenarios that the Air Force itself used in its 2009 Future Capabilities Game, however, we can gain “a better understanding of how air, space and cyberspace overlap in warfare,” and so begin to imagine how the next world war might actually be fought.

It’s 11:59 p.m. on Thanksgiving Thursday in 2025. While cyber-shoppers pound the portals of Best Buy for deep discounts on the latest home electronics from China, U.S. Air Force technicians at the Space Surveillance Telescope (SST) on Maui choke on their coffee as their panoramic screens suddenly blip to black. Thousands of miles away at the U.S. CyberCommand’s operations center in Texas, cyberwarriors soon detect malicious binaries that, though fired anonymously, show the distinctive digital fingerprints of China’s People’s Liberation Army.

The first overt strike is one nobody predicted. Chinese “malware” seizes control of the robotics aboard an unmanned solar-powered U.S. “Vulture” drone as it flies at 70,000 feet over the Tsushima Strait between Korea and Japan. It suddenly fires all the rocket pods beneath its enormous 400-foot wingspan, sending dozens of lethal missiles plunging harmlessly into the Yellow Sea, effectively disarming this formidable weapon.

Determined to fight fire with fire, the White House authorizes a retaliatory strike. Confident that its F-6 “Fractionated, Free-Flying” satellite system is impenetrable, Air Force commanders in California transmit robotic codes to the flotilla of X-37B space drones orbiting 250 miles above the Earth, ordering them to launch their “Triple Terminator” missiles at China’s 35 satellites. Zero response. In near panic, the Air Force launches its Falcon Hypersonic Cruise Vehicle into an arc 100 miles above the Pacific Ocean and then, just 20 minutes later, sends the computer codes to fire missiles at seven Chinese satellites in nearby orbits. The launch codes are suddenly inoperative.

As the Chinese virus spreads uncontrollably through the F-6 satellite architecture, while those second-rate U.S. supercomputers fail to crack the malware’s devilishly complex code, GPS signals crucial to the navigation of U.S. ships and aircraft worldwide are compromised. Carrier fleets begin steaming in circles in the mid-Pacific. Fighter squadrons are grounded. Reaper drones fly aimlessly toward the horizon, crashing when their fuel is exhausted. Suddenly, the United States loses what the U.S. Air Force has long called “the ultimate high ground”: space. Within hours, the military power that had dominated the globe for nearly a century has been defeated in World War III without a single human casualty.

A New World Order?

Even if future events prove duller than these four scenarios suggest, every significant trend points toward a far more striking decline in American global power by 2025 than anything Washington now seems to be envisioning.

As allies worldwide begin to realign their policies to take cognizance of rising Asian powers, the cost of maintaining 800 or more overseas military bases will simply become unsustainable, finally forcing a staged withdrawal on a still-unwilling Washington. With both the U.S. and China in a race to weaponize space and cyberspace, tensions between the two powers are bound to rise, making military conflict by 2025 at least feasible, if hardly guaranteed.

Complicating matters even more, the economic, military, and technological trends outlined above will not operate in tidy isolation. As happened to European empires after World War II, such negative forces will undoubtedly prove synergistic. They will combine in thoroughly unexpected ways, create crises for which Americans are remarkably unprepared, and threaten to spin the economy into a sudden downward spiral, consigning this country to a generation or more of economic misery.

As U.S. power recedes, the past offers a spectrum of possibilities for a future world order. At one end of this spectrum, the rise of a new global superpower, however unlikely, cannot be ruled out. Yet both China and Russia evince self-referential cultures, recondite non-roman scripts, regional defense strategies, and underdeveloped legal systems, denying them key instruments for global dominion. At the moment then, no single superpower seems to be on the horizon likely to succeed the U.S.

In a dark, dystopian version of our global future, a coalition of transnational corporations, multilateral forces like NATO, and an international financial elite could conceivably forge a single, possibly unstable, supra-national nexus that would make it no longer meaningful to speak of national empires at all. While denationalized corporations and multinational elites would assumedly rule such a world from secure urban enclaves, the multitudes would be relegated to urban and rural wastelands.

In “Planet of Slums,” Mike Davis offers at least a partial vision of such a world from the bottom up. He argues that the billion people already packed into fetid favela-style slums worldwide (rising to two billion by 2030) will make “the ‘feral, failed cities’ of the Third World… the distinctive battlespace of the twenty-first century.” As darkness settles over some future super-favela, “the empire can deploy Orwellian technologies of repression” as “hornet-like helicopter gun-ships stalk enigmatic enemies in the narrow streets of the slum districts… Every morning the slums reply with suicide bombers and eloquent explosions.”

At a midpoint on the spectrum of possible futures, a new global oligopoly might emerge between 2020 and 2040, with rising powers China, Russia, India, and Brazil collaborating with receding powers like Britain, Germany, Japan, and the United States to enforce an ad hoc global dominion, akin to the loose alliance of European empires that ruled half of humanity circa 1900.

Another possibility: the rise of regional hegemons in a return to something reminiscent of the international system that operated before modern empires took shape. In this neo-Westphalian world order, with its endless vistas of micro-violence and unchecked exploitation, each hegemon would dominate its immediate region — Brasilia in South America, Washington in North America, Pretoria in southern Africa, and so on. Space, cyberspace, and the maritime deeps, removed from the control of the former planetary “policeman,” the United States, might even become a new global commons, controlled through an expanded U.N. Security Council or some ad hoc body.

All of these scenarios extrapolate existing trends into the future on the assumption that Americans, blinded by the arrogance of decades of historically unparalleled power, cannot or will not take steps to manage the unchecked erosion of their global position.

If America’s decline is in fact on a 22-year trajectory from 2003 to 2025, then we have already frittered away most of the first decade of that decline with wars that distracted us from long-term problems and, like water tossed onto desert sands, wasted trillions of desperately needed dollars.

If only 15 years remain, the odds of frittering them all away still remain high. Congress and the president are now in gridlock; the American system is flooded with corporate money meant to jam up the works; and there is little suggestion that any issues of significance, including our wars, our bloated national security state, our starved education system, and our antiquated energy supplies, will be addressed with sufficient seriousness to assure the sort of soft landing that might maximize our country’s role and prosperity in a changing world.

Europe’s empires are gone and America’s imperium is going. It seems increasingly doubtful that the United States will have anything like Britain’s success in shaping a succeeding world order that protects its interests, preserves its prosperity, and bears the imprint of its best values.

  • Alfred W. McCoy is the J.R.W. Smail Professor of History at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. He is the author of A Question of Torture: CIA Interrogation, “From the Cold War to the War on Terror.” Later this year, “Policing America’s Empire: The United States, the Philippines, and the Rise of the Surveillance State,” a forthcoming book of his, will explore the influence of overseas counterinsurgency operations on the spread of internal security measures here at home. More: Alfred W. McCoy