February 19, 2018
If you disarm a population and only arm the agents of the state, you are only allowing the state to do whatever the hell they want without any fear of repercussions.
“Gun control” is just code for population control.
What event would have to happen for the United States to have another Civil War or Revolution?
Okay, it’s a pretty unlikely event, at least in the near future, but we can still have fun trying to come up with a sort-vaguely-plausible scenario.
To really get in the spirit of the question, let’s start with an all-too-possible trigger for a dystopian scenario: the U.S. slides into another recession, but this time interest rates are already at rock bottom, so the Fed is helpless to prevent deflation. Spiraling deflation turns the recession into a major depression that drags on for years, rapidly turning the U.S. into a second-rate power.
The level of hostility and ideological rhetoric gripping the country is deep and vicious. Each party is convinced that the solutions advocated by the other side are exactly the things that are destroying the country. Each accuses the other of treason.
One party has rigid control of the House and just barely controls the Senate, but not the presidency. The party in control of the legislature blames all the problems on the president and vice versa.
Congress blocks all presidential initiatives and refuses to fund the government. The president vetoes what he sees as disastrous crackpot bills and, citing lack of funds and changed circumstances, refuses to enforce old laws that he believes are contributing to the decline.
Stalemate continues, neither side backs down, the U.S. defaults on its debts, the world economy collapses, and all major problems suddenly get much, much worse. People are starving, riots break out and are bloodily suppressed, Democrats are lynched in red states, and Republicans are hunted down by angry mobs in blue states.
Sensational news stories break, claiming that the president and senior members of his party had met to secretly decide to suspend the constitution and declare martial law during the next Congressional recess. The House immediately votes to impeach the president, the vice president, and 47 senators from the president’s party on charges of treason.
The Senate, on a simple majority vote, rules that given the clear and present danger of a traitorous coup attempt, the impeached senators and accused traitors are to be be arrested and cannot vote on questions of impeachment or expulsion. Immediately afterward, a two-thirds majority of the unimpeached senators vote to expel the impeached senators and to convict the president, the vice president, and the 47 senators of “high crimes and misdemeanors” and remove them from office.
The Supreme Court fractures along ideological lines and issues a 4-4-1 split decision invalidating the decision to “suspend” the 47 senators and therefore invalidating the removal of the president and vice president. However, the Chief Justice chooses to interpret the murky wording of the 1 separate opinion as meaning that the verdict is “advisory” only, and proceeds to swear in the Speaker of the House as president.
The “new president” orders military units to surround the White House and arrest the “old president” and his criminal supporters. A Virginia National Guard mechanized battalion makes a pre-arranged dash for the White House in an attempt to comply, but several companies of marines are hastily scrambled from the Navy Yard to block its path. Civilians throwing Molotov cocktails force the armored units to retreat.
Meanwhile, the “old president” declares a state of civil insurrection and orders a battalion of MPs from Fort Meade and several other nearby units to move on Capital Hill in order to arrest the former Speaker and presidential “pretender.”
More units enter the city from all sides. Pitched battles are fought along Pennsylvania Avenue, around Capitol Hill, and for control of essential bridges and avenues. Memorial Bridge is destroyed and the Capitol Building and the White House both take severe damage as all the politicians scatter and retreat to their home states.
Both presidents declare martial law and issue a call for obedience and order. Red and blue states align according to party. Fighting breaks out as military units refuse to accept orders from “renegade” officials of the opposite faction.
Mutinies occur in many units, and both sides rapidly purge officers and NCOs who refuse to go along with the winning side. Pitched battles are fought on some military bases as units choose opposite sides.
Aided by Rutgers ROTC units and a hastily organized Loyalist militia from Newark, the New Jersey Guard is one of several state forces that defy orders and arrest their own governors.
The Joint Chiefs hastily declare neutrality and seize control of northern Virgina and most of DC. Many military units that have avoided partisan clashes take up defensive positions and attempt to impose martial law in their immediate areas, but the old south and many midwestern states quickly declare for the “Patriots.”
Most of the navy stays neutral, but some ships have to put to sea in haste with skeleton crews and deckloads of refugees as southern naval bases are overrun by Patriot militias and National Guard units.
A guerrilla war breaks out in California, where Patriot militias seize large parts of the state in the east, the south, and the central valley.
The Loyalist states of Colorado and New Mexico are invaded by Patriot units from neighboring states seeking to control strategic air and nuclear assets. Although officially neutral, Air Force units cripple the invading units and force them to retreat.
The Montana National Guard and local Patriot militias overrun and capture numerous missile silos, but not before the determinedly neutral missile crews manage to sabotage all of the ICBMs and the launch equipment.
The Patriot president calls for a cease fire and immediate partition of the country, effectively calling for the expulsion of the Loyalist states. A low-yield nuclear explosion is detected in Kansas where Patriot delegates are gathered for a constitutional convention.
The disintegration continues.
Okay, I could go on, but you can see where this is going.
The point is that one of the flaws in our constitutional system – and a crucial flaw in the “it couldn’t happen here” argument – is that each house of congress has the sole, unchecked, and arbitrary authority to determine its own rules. If one party controls both houses, it is then possible to use those rules and the impeachment powers to expel any sitting members of either house, making a legislative coup d’etat an ever-tempting prospect in times of deep ideological division.
All it takes is belief that the other side is completely evil. Then any good pretext will do.
Article I, Section 5 of the United States Constitution provides that “Each House [of Congress] may determine the Rules of its proceedings, punish its members for disorderly behavior, and, with the concurrence of two-thirds, expel a member.”